Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% 1%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
3 YANG Collin 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 6%
5 LEE Hubert Junhu 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
6 YAN Kaysen 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
7 PICACHE Merrick 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
8 YANG Austin 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
9 MCDONALD John 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
10 LEE Caleb 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
11 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
12 KIM Dylan 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
13 SEVERT David 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% - -
14 LAM Dylan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
15 CHANG Allen 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
16 LI Nathan 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
17 LEE Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
18 QIU Carson 100% 80% 37% 7% 1% -
19 CHANG Jarrett 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
21 TAM Ethan 100% 86% 50% 17% 2% -
22 SHETTY Vikram 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
23 HAO Jefferson 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% -
24 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
25 ANDERSON Bradley 100% 100% 99% 89% 50% 9%
26 JIA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
27 WOO Sawyer 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
28 ZHANG Jiahang 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% -
29 PAN Wesley 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
30 JUNG Diego 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
31 DJUNAEDI Brann 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% -
32 LEE Damian 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
33 CHENG Daniel 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
34 NGUYEN Phinix 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
35 WANG Alex 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 7%
36 XU Ethan 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
37 LEUNG Ian 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
38 WANG Grayson 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
39 WAN Andrew 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.