Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FISCHBEIN Quinley - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 HERNASA Anna - - - - 7% 38% 54%
3 VIJAY Vaishnavi - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
3 CHO Jacey - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
5 YIP Allison - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
6 CIOBANU Celine - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
7 SUN Joanna 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
8 YOON Claire 2% 16% 41% 32% 9% 1%
9 LIAO irene - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
10 ARNOLD Evangeline - 1% 12% 37% 40% 10%
11 MANDAP Alessandra - - - 5% 30% 49% 16%
12 LU Chu 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
13 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
14 BURKS Madison - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
15 GRAZIANO Josephine 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1% -
16 FLYNN Kensington 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
18 WANG Nicole - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
19 ZHU Anna 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
20 LU Chloe - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
21 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
22 KOU Cynthia - 7% 25% 38% 24% 6%
23 LYNTON Alexandra - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
24 KIM Vivian - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
25 MIAO Anthea - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
26 YANG Nina 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
27 RAPTIS Layla 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
28 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
29 FLESHER Mia 42% 43% 13% 2% - -
30 PAK Ella 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
31 VOO Evelyn 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
32 SIDHU Myra 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
33 LEE Adelynn - - 2% 12% 34% 41% 11%
34 LI Wan-Tao 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
35 WANG Kercedes Ye - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
36 HUANG Sophie 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
37 LEE Rebecca 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
38 LICHTENFELD Naomi - 6% 27% 43% 22% 3%
39 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
40 WANG Olivia 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
41 DEJOY Leilah 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
42 ZU Jacqueline - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
43 ROBLES Claudia - - 5% 23% 45% 23% 3%
44 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
45 LYNTON Olivia 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
46 FITCH Anna 21% 48% 26% 5% - -
47 MIDDLETON Riley 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
48 LEE Layla 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
49 REN Ivanka 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
50 REDDY Annika 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
51 BACK Ella 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
52 VISHWA Nishta 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
53 YU Jiaming 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
54 KAYMAN June 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
54 KLEIN Isabel 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
56 LUCAS Cynthia 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
57 PARK Rachel 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% - -
58 DEKERMANJI kate 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
59 ZLOTIN Kate 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
60 CHU Brianna 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.