Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 FISCHBEIN Quinley V D V V V V V V V V V 5.5 5 -0.5
2 HERNASA Anna V V V V V V V V V V 5.5 6 +0.5
3 VIJAY Vaishnavi V V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
3 CHO Jacey V V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
5 YIP Allison V V V V V D V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
6 CIOBANU Celine V D V V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
7 SUN Joanna V V V V D V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
8 YOON Claire D D D D D V V V D 2.3 0 -2.3
9 LIAO irene V V V V V V V D 5.1 6 +0.9
10 ARNOLD Evangeline V V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
11 MANDAP Alessandra V V V D V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
12 LU Chu D V D V V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
13 KUSHNERENKO Maiia V D V D V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
14 BURKS Madison V V D V D V V D 4.5 3 -1.5
15 GRAZIANO Josephine V D D V D D V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
16 FLYNN Kensington V D D D V D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
18 WANG Nicole V D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
19 ZHU Anna V V D V D V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
20 LU Chloe V V V V D D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
21 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae V V V D D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
22 KOU Cynthia D V V V D V D 3.0 3 -
23 LYNTON Alexandra D D V D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
24 KIM Vivian D D V V D V V D 4.6 3 -1.6
25 MIAO Anthea D V D V D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
26 YANG Nina V V D D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
27 RAPTIS Layla D D V V D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
28 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca D V D V D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
29 FLESHER Mia V D V D D V D 0.7 2 +1.3
30 PAK Ella D D V D D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
31 VOO Evelyn D D D V D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
32 SIDHU Myra D D D D V D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
33 LEE Adelynn V V V V V D D 4.5 5 +0.5
34 LI Wan-Tao V V V V D V D 2.5 5 +2.5
35 WANG Kercedes Ye V V V V D D D 3.4 4 +0.6
36 HUANG Sophie D V D V V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
37 LEE Rebecca V V D D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
38 LICHTENFELD Naomi D V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
39 GARCIA Sophia Noelle D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
40 WANG Olivia V D D D V V D 1.0 3 +2.0
41 DEJOY Leilah D V D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
42 ZU Jacqueline D V D D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
43 ROBLES Claudia D D V V V D D 3.9 3 -0.9
44 STEPHAN Antje Elisa D V V D D V D 1.4 3 +1.6
45 LYNTON Olivia V D D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
46 FITCH Anna D D V D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
47 MIDDLETON Riley D D V V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
48 LEE Layla V D D D V D D 0.9 2 +1.1
49 REN Ivanka V V D D D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
50 REDDY Annika D D D D V D 0.6 1 +0.4
51 BACK Ella D D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
52 VISHWA Nishta D D D D V D D 1.7 1 -0.7
53 YU Jiaming D V D D D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
54 KAYMAN June D D D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
54 KLEIN Isabel D V D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
56 LUCAS Cynthia D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
57 PARK Rachel D V D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
58 DEKERMANJI kate D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
59 ZLOTIN Kate D D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
60 CHU Brianna D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.