Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
3 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
5 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 15%
6 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
8 PARK Gi Beom 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
9 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
10 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
11 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
12 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
13 HU Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
14 QIAN Will 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
15 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
16 DANTON Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
17 TAO Jiemi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
18 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 2%
18 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
20 CHEN Steven 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
21 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
22 LIN George 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
23 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 1%
24 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
25 LYU Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
26 YOON Mason 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
27 CHEN Kyler 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
28 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
29 QU Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
30 CHEN Keegan 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 3%
31 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 13%
32 HEBERT SEBASTIEN 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
33 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
34 YANG Luca 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
35 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16%
36 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
37 SHARMA Ari 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
38 PARK Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
39 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
40 TAN Alan 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 10%
41 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
42 MORALES Tycho 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 1%
42 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
44 WANG Jaaziel 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
45 XU Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
46 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 19% 3%
47 LI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
48 JIN George 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
49 MCCOOL Henry 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
50 XU ETHAN 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
51 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 6%
52 SHEN Lucas 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
53 ZHAO David 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
54 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
55 XIA Vincent 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
56 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
57 HUA Isaac 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
58 YU Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
59 MOORE Quinn 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
60 WU Max 100% 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
60 HUANG Lucas 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
62 BUCHNER Roland 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
63 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
64 XU Daniel 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
65 TEOH Liam 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
66 MENG Andy 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
67 WU Yulen 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
68 GU Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
69 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
69 ROSOWSKY Phoenix 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
71 LU Ethan 100% 100% 94% 61% 16% 1%
72 LI Mason 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
73 LIN Dylan 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
74 JIAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
75 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
76 WILSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 75% 31% 5%
77 CHONG Cooper 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
78 LIU Bradley 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 2%
79 CHUNG Royce 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
80 XIA Wenhao 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
81 CHEN Andrew 100% 96% 69% 26% 4% -
82 PATEL Niam 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
83 LEE Ryan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
84 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
85 TARDIFF Owen 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
85 HAN Jayden 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
85 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
88 STARK Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
89 FANG Lionel 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
90 WU Connor 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
91 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 100% 97% 67% 23% 3%
92 CASCONE Raffaele 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2%
93 YU Oliver 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
94 GOLDSTEIN Tate 100% 93% 57% 17% 2% -
96 XU Jonathan 100% 99% 87% 42% 8% -
97 ALANAZI Saif 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
97 GENG Vincent 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
99 CHANG Joshua 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
99 LIU Max 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
101 MONTGOMERY Henry 100% 44% 6% - - -
102 LIN Alexander 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
103 JAGANNATHAN Avi 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
104 LIU Mason 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 7% 1%
104 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
106 HO Kasper 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
107 JAZWINSKI Archer 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
108 CHANG Owen 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
109 MAN Dylan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
110 GUTKOVSKIY Ryan 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
111 WILSON Henry 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
112 KUTATELADZE Danieli 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% -
113 ENOIU Ethan 100% 57% 5% - - -
114 DING Jacob 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
115 LU Ethan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
116 MADDES Gage 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
117 KIM JOSHUA 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% - -
118 AN Jacob 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
119 KIM ISAAC 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
120 PECK Henrik 100% 85% 34% 7% 1% - -
120 MACK Julian 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
122 YUAN Vincent 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
123 REN Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
124 CAI Mark 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
125 MARVEL Elliot 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
126 RICHMAN Aaron 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
126 AN Graham 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
128 BROD Baylin 100% 38% 7% 1% - -
129 CHOE Austin 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
130 GREENWALD Silas 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
131 CAI Charlie 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
132 ABAYA Jacob 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
133 KLINE Benjamin 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
134 NETESA Lukian 100% 41% 6% - - - -
136 CHEN Aidan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
137 NIE Grant 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
138 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
139 AWALGAONKAR Aahan 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
140 LUND Jonah 100% 79% 27% 4% - -
140 OBRIEN Seamus 100% 77% 38% 10% 1% - -
142 FAN Oscar 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
143 LEE Thomas 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
143 CHAN Theo 100% 53% 4% - - -
145 CREANGA Matthew 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
146 MENESES-VAUGHN Lucas 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
146 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
146 LEE Andrew 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
149 HWANG Samuel 100% 41% 7% - - -
149 JI Eli 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
151 ROSENBAUM Ethan 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.