Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
2 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
3 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
5 GUO Luke 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
6 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
7 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
8 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
9 MA Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
10 ENG Kyler 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
11 MAI Sy 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
12 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
13 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
14 WONG Vansen 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
15 MENG Haoyi 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
16 NORTON Henry 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
17 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
18 DENG Destin 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
19 WANG Dylan 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 5%
20 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
21 KOU Mason 100% 93% 62% 20% 3% -
22 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
23 ROBINSON Dax 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
24 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
25 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
26 RAHMAN Ali 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
27 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
28 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
29 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
30 HAMILTON Travis 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
31 LAU Caleb 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
32 HU Jingsen 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
33 PARRA Lucas 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
34 WOO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
35 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
36 CHEONG Cameron 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
37 KIM Remington 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
38 SHOURIE Seth 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
39 GADHVI Darius 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 16%
40 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
41 ONG David 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
42 YU Haoyun 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
43 CHARETTE Alex 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
44 BERTEL Florian 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
45 CHIEN Ian 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
46 SZETO Zachary 100% 85% 42% 9% 1% -
47 YU Brandon 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
48 ROLAND Nikolas 100% 89% 33% 5% - -
49 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
50 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
51 KIM Leejay 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
52 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
53 OR Anson 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
54 LIN Bryan 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
55 GE Austin 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
56 NUGENT Curtis 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
57 LIU Yihong 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
57 HUANG Eason 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
59 BYUN Matthew 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
60 YUN Nicholas 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
61 SHOURIE Neel 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
64 PARADKAR Akshay 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
65 NIE Shuobo 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
66 GOSS Aiden 100% 22% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.