Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Aaron - 2% 14% 39% 35% 10%
2 DU Evan - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
3 FU Nolan - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
3 VOO Lucas - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
5 GUO Luke - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
6 XUE Michael - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
7 RONG Gordon - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
8 RAHMAN Zayd 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
9 MA Ryan - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
10 ENG Kyler 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
11 MAI Sy 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
12 OLIVAS Joseph 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
13 DODDAPANENI Aarav - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
14 WONG Vansen 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
15 MENG Haoyi 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
16 NORTON Henry - < 1% 6% 28% 44% 21%
17 WHITE Ryden - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
18 DENG Destin - 4% 17% 31% 31% 14% 2%
19 WANG Dylan - 4% 26% 41% 24% 5%
20 NGUYEN Ethan V. 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
21 KOU Mason 7% 31% 42% 17% 3% -
22 MAXU Tiger - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
23 ROBINSON Dax 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
24 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
25 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
26 RAHMAN Ali 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
27 TOUSSAINT Wizard 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
28 RONG Marcus - 2% 18% 39% 32% 9%
29 WANG Lucas 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
30 HAMILTON Travis - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
31 LAU Caleb 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
32 HU Jingsen 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
33 PARRA Lucas 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
34 WOO Lucas - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
35 LEE Lucas - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
36 CHEONG Cameron - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
37 KIM Remington - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
38 SHOURIE Seth 13% 37% 33% 14% 3% -
39 GADHVI Darius - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
40 SARMIENTO Luke - 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
41 ONG David 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
42 YU Haoyun 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
43 CHARETTE Alex - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
44 BERTEL Florian - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
45 CHIEN Ian 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
46 SZETO Zachary 15% 43% 33% 8% 1% -
47 YU Brandon 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
48 ROLAND Nikolas 11% 57% 27% 5% - -
49 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
50 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
51 KIM Leejay 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
52 LIN Daniel 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
53 OR Anson 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
54 LIN Bryan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
55 GE Austin 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
56 NUGENT Curtis 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
57 LIU Yihong 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
57 HUANG Eason 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
59 BYUN Matthew 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
60 YUN Nicholas 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
61 SHOURIE Neel 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
64 PARADKAR Akshay 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
65 NIE Shuobo 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
66 GOSS Aiden 78% 21% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.