Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
2 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 WONG Alexander 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
3 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
5 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
6 WANG James 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
7 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
8 DENG Richard 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
9 SU Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 23%
10 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
11 RAZAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
12 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
13 PI Edwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
14 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
15 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
16 WU Allen 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
17 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
18 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27% 4%
19 WANG Darren 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
20 WOO Slade 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
21 LEI Isaac 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
22 FAKHRI Adrian 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
23 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
24 DING Orlando 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
25 SUN alan 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
26 FERRING Theo 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
27 FAN Yuen 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
28 LI Jason 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
29 RAMOS Pious 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
30 CHEN Maorui 100% 74% 26% 4% - -
31 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
32 LIU Jayden 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
33 SO Cheston 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
34 BURKHART Camden 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 1%
35 WANG Chuyun 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
36 LAM Dylan 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
37 KAUFFMAN Graham 100% 92% 63% 28% 6% 1%
38 GUO ATTICUS 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
39 LAD Anish 100% 65% 18% 2% - -
40 CHAN Ethan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
41 NGUYEN Tristan 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
42 CHANG Allen 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
43 ALLEVATO Luigi 100% 66% 18% 2% - -
44 KHUU HALL Gibson 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
45 DING Kyen 100% 97% 79% 45% 13% 1%
46 XIN Ryan 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
47 ZHU Mason 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
48 KIM Dylan 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
49 WU Aiden 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% - -
50 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
51 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 87% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
52 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
53 CHOI Theo 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
54 DAUM Billy 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1% -
55 SEVERT David 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
56 DOUGLAS Milo 100% 62% 16% 2% - -
57 YANG Collin 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
58 YUEN Aulden 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.