Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 39%
3 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 YUN Mason 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
5 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 45% 13%
6 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
7 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
8 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
9 YOON Ian 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
10 PARK Sean 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
11 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
12 LIU Aiden 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
13 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
14 LIU William 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
15 JUNG Brandon 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 2% -
16 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
17 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 YIM Antonio 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 3%
19 LI Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22% 2%
20 ZHAO Luke 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 25% 4%
21 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
22 SHIH Derek 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
23 DING Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
24 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
25 LO Stefan 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
26 CHU Clayton 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 6%
27 BUSH Andrew 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
28 HAN Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 1%
29 GONG Rongtao 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
30 LI John 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
31 ZHANG JENSON 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
32 LEE Cooper 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
33 JIN JETFAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
34 CHO Lincoln 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
35 NOZAWA Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
36 KIM Benjamin 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1% -
37 ELARDO Griffin 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
38 KIM Hayden 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
39 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
40 YIM Benjamin 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
41 LAU Jesse 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
42 MCEWEN Max 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
42 DODDAPANENI Arjun 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4% -
44 SI Alexander 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
45 KOU Logan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
46 HUYNH Ethan 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
47 JI Dylan 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% - -
48 HONG Eason 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
49 WANG Alexander 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
50 LI Ethan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
51 LI Anson 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
52 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
53 DAI Greyson 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
54 TENG Eric 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
54 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 89% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
56 GOMEZ Emmett 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
57 SHI Ethan 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
58 LU Mark 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
59 LEE Zeo 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
60 SAMUELSON Ben 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
61 IGISSINOV Nurali 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
62 YANG Mikey 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
63 YANG Rony 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
64 XUE Jason 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
65 EVANS Harvey 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
66 WAN William 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
67 SCHOELLHAMMER John 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
69 CHIANG WESLEY 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.