Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 FLYNN Kensington 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 5%
3 LIAO irene 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
5 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
6 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
7 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
8 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
9 MIAO Anthea 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 3%
10 TRUONG Chloe 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
11 LU Chu 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
12 YANG Nina 100% 100% 92% 56% 8%
13 LYNTON Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
14 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
15 DEJOY Leilah 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
16 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
17 VOO Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
18 CHU Brianna 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
20 LEE Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 12%
21 WANG Olivia 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
22 DING Xuanwen 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3%
23 LI Claire 100% 93% 51% 11% -
24 SHIH Eva 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
25 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
26 HUANG Sophie 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
27 LICON Katherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
28 LEE Layla 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
29 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
30 MUHLENBRUCH Cora 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1% -
31 SCHWARTZMAN Avital 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
32 MANDAP Natalya 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% -
33 ROSENFELD Liv 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
34 KEDAN Carmella 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
35 YU Elise 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
36 HSIEH Sophie 100% 93% 57% 18% 3% -
37 FLESHER Mia 100% 94% 63% 19% 2% -
38 YANG Maggie Qiqi 100% 95% 63% 17% 1%
39 MA Sloane 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
40 SHIH Cayla 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
41 WANG Elizabeth 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
41 BAI lufei 100% 35% 4% - -
43 HWANG Faith 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
44 WHITE Zinnia 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.