NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - - 1% 80% 19%
2 STRAUSS Luke - - 1% 19% 80%
3 ROSE-JONES Simon - - - - 8% 91%
3 MARTINEAU ELIE - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
5 FENOUL Frederic - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
6 LAI Boden - - - 6% 33% 61%
7 WALLACE James - 1% 14% 40% 36% 9%
8 TRAN Spencer - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
9 DOLMETSCH Max - - 2% 16% 43% 40%
10 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 2% 22% 77%
11 BOUCHER Benjamin - - - - 19% 81%
12 DJONOUMA Toyohm - - 2% 20% 57% 20%
13 DOELEMAN Zeno - - - 3% 33% 63%
14 WILSON Ian G. 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2%
14 SONG Troy - - - 3% 25% 71%
16 KABA Elias - 3% 24% 45% 25% 2%
17 HUANG Thomas - - - 2% 20% 78%
18 MICKEY Christopher J. 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
18 SANTOS Francisco M. - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
20 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. - 1% 8% 38% 44% 9%
21 WANG Justin - - 5% 27% 50% 19%
22 BAJAJ Nakul - 1% 12% 42% 37% 8%
23 ZHENG Jason - 3% 29% 67% 1% -
24 FEINBERG James Y. - 7% 34% 47% 12% 1%
25 WANG-SONG Evan 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
26 RADZIKOWSKI Sam - 8% 39% 40% 12% 1%
27 SONG Changze - 4% 41% 46% 8% -
28 WANG Zichun - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
29 SPRINGER Elijah 4% 26% 48% 21% 1%
30 SUH Aiden - 4% 41% 44% 10% -
31 WANG Xiangdong - 3% 30% 43% 21% 3%
32 ZHU Brady 37% 54% 9% 1% - -
33 BRASSARD Calvin - 1% 17% 44% 34% 4%
34 NALLICHERI Ayaan 1% 9% 38% 46% 6%
35 BONIN Leonard - - 4% 27% 58% 10%
36 ROSIELLO Francesco 11% 40% 36% 12% 1% -
37 OSHIMA Robert 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 1%
38 SANTOS Felipe - 1% 12% 37% 41% 9%
39 JU Bryan - 2% 19% 42% 30% 6%
40 WHITE Aidan 3% 21% 42% 28% 6% -
41 SMITH Troy H. - 4% 31% 47% 17% 1%
42 REELS Eric J. 2% 21% 48% 26% 3% -
43 NIXON-PERONI Micah 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
44 LOPEZ-SIMPSON Victor - 7% 37% 39% 14% 2%
45 YIN Chujun 1% 7% 29% 43% 19% 1%
46 SKLAR Davida (Didi) 3% 20% 41% 29% 7% -
47 HAN Nathan 34% 47% 17% 2% - -
48 SEILS Aether 28% 46% 22% 4% - -
49 LIU Easun 49% 45% 6% - - -
50 RICHARDS Jack 11% 54% 32% 4% - -
51 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
52 WILLIAMS Gavin 42% 44% 13% 1% -
53 STAFFORD Gareth 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
54 ROFINO Samuel 3% 30% 55% 12% - -
55 LIU Jeremiah W. - 4% 22% 44% 29% 1%
56 MANN Daniel 11% 50% 33% 6% - -
57 BENNETT Paul 48% 45% 6% - - -
58 LIU George 59% 37% 4% - - -
58 LIN Lucas 6% 31% 45% 16% 2% -
60 BENNETT Nathaniel 21% 52% 23% 4% - -
61 LEE Harrison 21% 49% 26% 4% -
62 BARNES Kieron 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
63 ACHILOV Murod 67% 29% 4% - - -
64 CHAN Tyler 26% 46% 24% 5% - -
65 BEAULIEU Edmund 36% 53% 10% 1% - -
66 BEEVER Logan 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
67 WIGGINS Keigan 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
68 ZHENG Yicheng Will 61% 35% 4% - - -
69 FOGEL Jake 27% 48% 22% 3% - -
69 LI Alexander 71% 26% 2% - - -
71 BENNETT Nathan 21% 57% 20% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.