NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 19%
2 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
3 MARTINEAU ELIE 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
5 FENOUL Frederic 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
6 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
7 WALLACE James 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 9%
8 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
9 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
10 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
11 BOUCHER Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 81%
12 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 20%
13 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 63%
14 WILSON Ian G. 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
14 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
16 KABA Elias 100% 100% 96% 72% 27% 2%
17 HUANG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
18 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
18 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8%
20 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 9%
21 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 19%
22 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 8%
23 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 97% 68% 1% -
24 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 100% 93% 60% 13% 1%
25 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
26 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 100% 92% 53% 13% 1%
27 SONG Changze 100% 100% 96% 55% 8% -
28 WANG Zichun 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 6%
29 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 96% 70% 22% 1%
30 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 96% 55% 10% -
31 WANG Xiangdong 100% 100% 97% 67% 24% 3%
32 ZHU Brady 100% 63% 9% 1% - -
33 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 100% 99% 82% 37% 4%
34 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 99% 90% 52% 6%
35 BONIN Leonard 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 10%
36 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% -
37 OSHIMA Robert 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
38 SANTOS Felipe 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 9%
39 JU Bryan 100% 100% 98% 79% 37% 6%
40 WHITE Aidan 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% -
41 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 96% 65% 18% 1%
42 REELS Eric J. 100% 98% 77% 29% 3% -
43 NIXON-PERONI Micah 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
44 LOPEZ-SIMPSON Victor 100% 100% 92% 55% 16% 2%
45 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 1%
46 SKLAR Davida (Didi) 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% -
47 HAN Nathan 100% 66% 19% 2% - -
48 SEILS Aether 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
49 LIU Easun 100% 51% 6% - - -
50 RICHARDS Jack 100% 89% 35% 4% - -
51 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
52 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 58% 14% 1% -
53 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
54 ROFINO Samuel 100% 97% 67% 12% - -
55 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 1%
56 MANN Daniel 100% 89% 39% 6% - -
57 BENNETT Paul 100% 52% 7% - - -
58 LIU George 100% 41% 4% - - -
58 LIN Lucas 100% 94% 63% 19% 2% -
60 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 79% 27% 4% - -
61 LEE Harrison 100% 79% 29% 4% -
62 BARNES Kieron 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
63 ACHILOV Murod 100% 33% 4% - - -
64 CHAN Tyler 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
65 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 64% 10% 1% - -
66 BEEVER Logan 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
67 WIGGINS Keigan 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
68 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 39% 4% - - -
69 FOGEL Jake 100% 73% 25% 3% - -
69 LI Alexander 100% 29% 2% - - -
71 BENNETT Nathan 100% 79% 22% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.