Fencers Club Open - Senior Men and Women's Epee III

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Fencers Club Inc. - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KAULL James	-	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
2	MAO Benjamin	-	-	1%	11%	39%	40%	9%
3	WHITE Sean	-	-	-	-	6%	94%
3	SIMMONS Ariel Joshua	-	-	-	2%	28%	69%
5	HILBERT Gabriel	-	-	2%	18%	44%	31%	5%
6	SHELANSKI Isaac	-	-	2%	27%	58%	14%
7	PIASIO Jack	-	-	3%	24%	57%	16%
8	CHEN Leonardo	-	1%	9%	32%	44%	14%
9	ISAAC Joseph	-	-	-	2%	23%	75%
10	MOORE Shomari	-	-	-	3%	29%	68%
11	BEDOR William	-	-	1%	9%	37%	53%
12	DOUBOV Andrew	-	2%	22%	47%	29%	1%
13	GUMEDELLI Mohnish	1%	9%	30%	40%	18%	2%
14	KARIMOV Amir	-	3%	26%	47%	23%	-
15	KOKENGE Reid	-	1%	11%	56%	29%	3%
16	CARPENTER Liam	-	-	1%	10%	40%	48%
17	CAI Brian	-	3%	20%	43%	30%	3%
17	CHEN Edward	2%	15%	42%	35%	6%	-
19	CHOI Joong Kyung	-	2%	14%	36%	38%	9%
20	RIM Eugene	14%	38%	34%	12%	2%	-
21	YI Yohan Pagel	-	5%	22%	38%	27%	8%	1%
22	LAWLOR Lee	4%	26%	43%	23%	4%	-
23	MILINKOVIC Maksim	16%	40%	33%	10%	1%	-
24	SUN Lucas	9%	35%	39%	16%	2%	-
25	MILLER Andrew	10%	31%	36%	19%	4%	-
26	NG Nico	28%	48%	22%	2%	-	-
27	DURKIN Hudson	7%	30%	40%	20%	3%	-
27	KYPRAIOS Nicholas	-	4%	34%	45%	16%	-
29	DANIEL Camron	-	4%	21%	43%	29%	3%
30	DATSON David	51%	39%	10%	1%	-	-
31	SUBRAMANIAM Sahil	16%	44%	32%	7%	-	-	-
32	ZHAI Junqi	1%	23%	48%	25%	3%	-	-
33	RVACHEV Michael	2%	18%	42%	32%	6%	-
34	MARTINSON Torm	55%	40%	5%	-	-	-	-
35	CHO Adrian	10%	64%	23%	3%	-	-
36	KOEPPEL Levi	2%	13%	34%	37%	14%	1%
37	SCHIAVONE Oreste	22%	48%	28%	2%	-	-
37	LIN Yufei	31%	46%	20%	3%	-	-
39	WU Jerry	10%	41%	36%	11%	1%	-
40	MA Sean	19%	47%	31%	3%	-	-
41	ANDERSON Eric	26%	47%	23%	4%	-	-
42	ANDERSON Connor	83%	16%	-	-	-	-
43	LUNIEVICZ Joseph	41%	42%	15%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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