Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SUAREZ Rafael A. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| 2 | WYSZYNSKI Marek B. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 3 | CHO Michael | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 3 | GONZALEZ II John L. | V D V V V | V V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 5 | LOPEZ Reynaldo (REY) | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 6 | HARKINS Craig T. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 7 | ANDERSON Nathan T. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 7 | TYSHCHENKO Andrey | V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 9 | POPOKH Leo | V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | ZHANG Jie | V D V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 11 | KISSINGFORD John F. | V V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 12 | SIRICO Thomas (Tommy) P. | V V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 13 | WAY Kashi M. | D V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 14 | ZHAO Zhiyong | V D V D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 15 | GEARHART Andrew (Andy) R. | D V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 16 | TANG Julian | D V V D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 17 | CHENG Thomas | V V D V D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 18 | FOELLMER Oliver K. | V V D D V | D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 18 | MUELLER Donn | D V V D V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 20 | VALENTINE Iain | V D V V D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 21 | WU Clarence C. | D V V V D D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 22 | RIFFATERRE Jason | V V D D V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 23 | KENT Dwain | D D D V V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 24 | FRENZINGER Douglas | D D V D V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 25 | LEE Hans | D V D V D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 26 | CLAYTON Byron | D V D D D V | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 27 | BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. | D D D V D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 28 | WOOD BEn | D D D D V | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 29 | NEWELL Tim | D D D D V | V D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 30 | GERACI Paul A. | D D D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 31 | SPRINGER Michael | D D D D D V | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 32 | HERNANDEZ Marc A. | D D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 33 | MINOTT Nicolas D. | V D D V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 34 | BALBOA Rolando M. | V D V D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 35 | KIM Ethan | V V D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 36 | GUERRERO Gonzalo | V V D D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 37 | LEYLAND John | D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 38 | MONSEFI Amir | D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 39 | NUDELMAN Aleksandr | D D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 40 | TOWSTER Robert | D V D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 41 | DE BARROS CONTI Thibaut | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 42 | STOY Patrick | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 42 | RUSANOV Oleg | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.