February NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
3 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
3 LIOU Solomon 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
5 CONKLIN Jim 100% 99% 85% 43% 7%
6 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 14%
7 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
8 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
9 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 74%
10 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
11 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 15%
12 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
13 COX Matthew T. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
14 DEPAUW Devan 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 4% -
15 CHU Brandon A. 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% -
16 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
17 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
18 FENOUL Frederic 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 69%
19 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 99% 85% 44% 8%
20 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Ben 100% 93% 55% 15% 1% -
21 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
22 GOLCU Doruk 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
23 STOCK Jordan 100% 98% 79% 35% 5% -
24 ELBAG Mark H. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
25 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
26 MCNALLY Thomas J. 100% 98% 80% 37% 6% -
27 LAWLOR Lee 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
28 KIM Jeff 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2% -
29 VALENTINE Shem 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% - -
30 MORET Eric N. 100% 82% 34% 6% -
31 KRIEGER Nathanial 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
32 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
33 ISAAC Mena 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
34 EVERT Todd 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
35 PEI Suyang 100% 71% 26% 5% - -
37 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1%
38 REED David 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
39 FULLER II Thomas 100% 52% 11% 1% -
40 TURNER Joshua 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -
41 CHI Kai-Hung 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
42 COLE Matthew 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
43 MIZRAHI Meir 100% 40% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.