February NAC

Vet-60 Men's Épée

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMELI Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 14%
2 DRAGONETTI Walter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
3 WATRALL Rick 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
3 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
5 FRANK Fred 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
6 OCHS Bradley C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
7 MCDONNELL Michael 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
8 FREY Wayne N. 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
9 WALTING Paul J. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% < 1%
10 LANG Markus 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
11 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 4%
12 KAROLAK Dale W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
13 BECK Brian C. 100% 74% 30% 5% < 1% - -
14 EDWARDS Tim 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 4% -
15 GILLHAM Timothy A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
16 VARNEY John R. 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
17 SUPONYA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
18 LOEFFLER Carl E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
19 EVANS Allen L. 100% 99% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
20 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
21 BOLDUC PATRICE 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
22 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
23 RANES Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
24 DELGADO Jr. Eli M. 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
25 HANAHAN Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
26 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
27 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
28 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
29 BRUS Brian V. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
30 FANGMAN Daniel L. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
31 CRETEN joachim 100% 24% 3% - - - -
32 SWANSON Dave 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
33 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 7% 1%
34 GREGORY Dean 100% 99% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
35 O'DOWD Andrew J. 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
36 BAER Bryan G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
37 WAGMAN Robert S. 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
38 PAVLOVICH Robert 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
39 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
40 JENSEN David 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
41 BAXTER David 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
42 BEITTEL David F. 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
43 POPPRE Michael N. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
44 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% - -
45 TREANOR Donald K. 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
46 MASE James B. 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
47 HERROD Christopher N. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
47 KRUGER Mark 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
49 SIMS Martin L. 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
50 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
51 CISNEROS Robert A. 100% 84% 42% 9% 1% - -
52 LONADIER Robert 100% 18% 1% - - - -
53 MALLOY Christopher B. 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.