February NAC

Vet-70 Men's Épée

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOREAU John A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
2 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
3 SWICK Kerry J. 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% -
3 MARIANI Lou 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
5 JUGAN Bruce M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
6 BLAKLEY Dwain 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
7 RICHARDS Dick 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
8 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
9 TAYLOR Daryl J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
10 SIMMONS Matthew C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
11 PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
12 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
13 GOOSSENS Bruno 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
14 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
15 FLINT James E. 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
16 NEWSOME James L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
17 TKACH Robert W. 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3%
18 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2%
19 KRAMER Mark 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
20 TYSON Julian F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
21 ALPERSTEIN Donald W. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
22 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
23 PARY Theodore 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
24 JEFFERIES Jonathan J. 100% 100% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
25 RESS Michael A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
26 DARRICAU OLY Henri J. 100% 100% 94% 68% 24% 3%
27 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3%
28 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
29 HUNKER Frederick 100% 100% 86% 48% 13% 2% -
30 HVIDING Ketil 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
31 ROSENTHAL Paul E. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
32 CASTELLANOS Rene E. 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
33 KLEIN Johannes 100% 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
34 SPAHN Jeff 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
35 MEHALL Michael 100% 82% 29% 5% - - -
36 CARTER Tony 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
37 MORGAN Michael (Mike) S. 100% 98% 70% 28% 5% - -
38 SMITH Herman E. 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
39 HENRY Mark R. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
40 RIDLEY Alan P. 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% -
41 ANDERSON Donald 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
42 MATTHEWS John (Doc) C. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
43 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
44 GALLIVAN James 100% 34% 2% - - - -
45 FRANK William N. 100% 12% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.