W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open 2026

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
2 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 OWEN Michael D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
5 DILDA Griffin 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 2%
6 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
7 SAAL Anna 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
8 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
9 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 7%
10 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
11 BARTON Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
12 BAYUS Oliver 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
13 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
14 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
15 FOREST Sung 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 8%
16 SHELLY Emery 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
17 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
18 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
19 PRAKASH Rahul 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
20 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
21 SIMS Martin L. 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% - -
22 MILLNER Brian 100% 99% 78% 40% 11% 2% -
23 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
24 ANDERSON Jr. Danny R. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
25 SU Jingbo 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
26 IYER Matthias 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
27 KELLEY Nathan 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
28 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
29 MCCLEAN III Walter F. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
30 PANE Patrick 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
31 RAGSDALE Lillian 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
32 SMITHSON Matthew 100% 39% 6% - - - -
33 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
34 DROLET Julia 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.