9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
3 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
5 MIAO Anthea 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
6 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 9%
7 MA Sloane 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
8 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 98% 83% 33% 3%
9 RONG Hilary 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
10 YANG Nina 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
11 VOO Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
12 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
13 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
14 TRUONG Chloe 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
15 LU Chu 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
16 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
17 PARKE Jaime 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
18 LYNTON Olivia 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
19 DEJOY Leilah 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
20 LICON Katherine 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
21 HSIEH Sophie 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
22 FIEDOR Savannah 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2% -
23 SCHWARTZMAN Avital 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
24 LEE Layla 100% 93% 60% 18% 2% -
25 WANG Olivia 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
26 CHONG Emma 100% 99% 94% 70% 33% 8% -
27 SHIH Eva 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
28 SHIH Cayla 100% 68% 19% 3% - - -
29 HWANG Faith 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1% -
30 LUCENA Yoltzin 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 7%
31 WANG Elizabeth 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
32 WANG Catherine 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
33 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
34 WHITE Zinnia 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
35 KEDAN Carmella 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
36 ZHANG JINGRU 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
37 BAI lufei 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
38 FULLER Jocelyn 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
39 YAO Astrid 100% 62% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.