9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
2 LEE Nathan Uju - - - 2% 12% 42% 44%
3 FU BRANDEN 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
3 ZEYU wu - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
5 CHI Everett - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 18%
6 SUN Ryan - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
7 SLOAN Ethan 7% 30% 40% 19% 3%
8 LIU Daniel - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
9 LIU Clarence 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
10 ZHANG KAIQI - 2% 15% 43% 40%
11 CHEN Zhengming - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
12 BRUM Charles E. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
13 LO Elroy 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
14 FISCHER Noel 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
15 YANG Jake 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
16 TENG Lucas - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
17 KIM Derek 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
18 SAHA Aadi 27% 44% 24% 5% -
19 XIE Justin - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
20 LIN Ethan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
21 WU Dawei 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
21 CAO Chuck 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
23 SAHA Aryan 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
24 SEDOSHKIN Timur 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
25 CHAN Ewan 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
26 HORN Diodorus 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
27 KIM Leo 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
28 SUN Eon - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
29 OON Ted 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
30 HAO Johnny 1% 11% 34% 41% 14%
31 CHEN Aaron - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
32 SHARMA Smyan 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
33 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
34 LUO Gavin 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
35 LIU Paul 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
36 CHEUNG Evan 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
37 WU Garrick 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
38 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 16% 41% 33% 10% 1%
39 CHANDLER Scott 63% 31% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.