9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
2 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 FU BRANDEN 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
3 ZEYU wu 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
5 CHI Everett 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
6 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
7 SLOAN Ethan 100% 93% 62% 22% 3%
8 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
9 LIU Clarence 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
10 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
11 CHEN Zhengming 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
12 BRUM Charles E. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
13 LO Elroy 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
14 FISCHER Noel 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
15 YANG Jake 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4%
16 TENG Lucas 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
17 KIM Derek 100% 98% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
18 SAHA Aadi 100% 73% 29% 5% -
19 XIE Justin 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
20 LIN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
21 WU Dawei 100% 92% 65% 32% 9% 2% -
21 CAO Chuck 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
23 SAHA Aryan 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
24 SEDOSHKIN Timur 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
25 CHAN Ewan 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
26 HORN Diodorus 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 1% -
27 KIM Leo 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
28 SUN Eon 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
29 OON Ted 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
30 HAO Johnny 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
31 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7% 1%
32 SHARMA Smyan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
33 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
34 LUO Gavin 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
35 LIU Paul 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
36 CHEUNG Evan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
37 WU Garrick 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
38 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 84% 43% 10% 1%
39 CHANDLER Scott 100% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.