March NAC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Friday, March 6, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TABANCAY Cole - - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
2 YE Aaron - - 1% 7% 35% 52% 5%
3 WANG Henrik - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 34%
3 CHEN Luca - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
5 HU Simon - - - 2% 12% 42% 45%
6 LEE Hubert Junhu - 1% 11% 39% 49%
7 WANG Russell - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
8 CONSTANTINE Leonidas - 1% 6% 27% 47% 18% 1%
9 YAN Kaysen 1% 12% 41% 40% 7%
10 LI Nathan - - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19%
10 ZHENG Matt - 1% 8% 24% 36% 26% 6%
12 WU Dylan - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
13 GALANG Aiden 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
15 BECKER Grayson - - 4% 30% 66%
16 BROOKS Grant 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
17 CHUNG Evan - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
18 VINCENT Yian 2% 17% 40% 33% 7% < 1%
19 JIAO Lawrence - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
20 CHANG Allen 2% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1% -
21 ILICHEV Timur - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
22 GHIM Ethan 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
23 ZHANG Leon - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
24 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
26 ADOLPHUS March - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
27 TIAGI Ronald - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
28 CHEN Remsen 6% 26% 40% 24% 4%
29 LEVY Rafa - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
30 BABY Jacob 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
31 KWON Joon 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
32 LEE Albert - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
34 MO Ian - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
35 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
36 MULCAHEY Kieran 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
37 LEE Augustine 1% 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
38 PICACHE Merrick 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
39 DOBRYNCHUK Nazarii - - 1% 10% 33% 42% 14%
40 LI Nathan 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
41 SEVERT David 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
42 LIN Rongcheng Noah 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
43 LAKKARAJU Prathik 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
44 ZHAO Evan 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
45 NAKAMURA Haruki 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
46 CHEN Donovan 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
47 QIAO Jason 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
48 ARVIND Dhruv 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
49 CHANG Jarrett 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
50 GUPTA Abir 63% 31% 6% - - - -
51 GUINN Robert 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
52 KIM Dylan 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
53 OUYANG Nolan 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
54 GUI Kyle 4% 29% 41% 21% 4% - -
55 LAKKARAJU Dhishan 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
56 LEE Caleb 2% 19% 46% 30% 4%
57 KIM ZOLLER Jude 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
58 WANG Thomas 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
59 WONG Jacob 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 3%
60 HORIKAWA Xander 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
61 LIU Shuangquan - 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
62 TAM Ethan 12% 36% 36% 14% 1%
62 HUI Winston < 1% 9% 31% 39% 19% 2%
64 GHATTAS August < 1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
65 KANG ray - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
66 LASS Edward - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
67 KHAN Zorayz 15% 47% 31% 6% -
68 ZHANG Ethan 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1%
68 PETROSYAN David 12% 36% 36% 14% 2%
70 CHENG Daniel 53% 38% 8% 1% -
71 NABOKA Ruslan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
72 CHANG Isaac 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
73 LIANG Henry 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
74 FLORIN Lucas 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
75 CHIN Domyeong 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
76 WOO Jonathan 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
77 WENTZ W. Budd 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
78 HUANG Max 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
78 MACIE Theodore 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.