March NAC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Friday, March 6, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
2 YE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 5%
3 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
3 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
6 LEE Hubert Junhu 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
7 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
8 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20% 1%
9 YAN Kaysen 100% 99% 87% 47% 7%
10 LI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
10 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
12 WU Dylan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
13 GALANG Aiden 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
15 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
16 BROOKS Grant 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
17 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
18 VINCENT Yian 100% 98% 80% 41% 8% < 1%
19 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
20 CHANG Allen 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
21 ILICHEV Timur 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
22 GHIM Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
23 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
24 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
26 ADOLPHUS March 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
27 TIAGI Ronald 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
28 CHEN Remsen 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
29 LEVY Rafa 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
30 BABY Jacob 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
31 KWON Joon 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 2%
32 LEE Albert 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
34 MO Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
35 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
36 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
37 LEE Augustine 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7% 1%
38 PICACHE Merrick 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
39 DOBRYNCHUK Nazarii 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
40 LI Nathan 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
41 SEVERT David 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
42 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
43 LAKKARAJU Prathik 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
44 ZHAO Evan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
45 NAKAMURA Haruki 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
46 CHEN Donovan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
47 QIAO Jason 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
48 ARVIND Dhruv 100% 88% 53% 17% 2%
49 CHANG Jarrett 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
50 GUPTA Abir 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
51 GUINN Robert 100% 79% 42% 13% 2% - -
52 KIM Dylan 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
53 OUYANG Nolan 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
54 GUI Kyle 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% - -
55 LAKKARAJU Dhishan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
56 LEE Caleb 100% 98% 79% 33% 4%
57 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
58 WANG Thomas 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
59 WONG Jacob 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
60 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
61 LIU Shuangquan 100% 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
62 TAM Ethan 100% 88% 52% 16% 1%
62 HUI Winston 100% 100% 91% 60% 20% 2%
64 GHATTAS August 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
65 KANG ray 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
66 LASS Edward 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
67 KHAN Zorayz 100% 85% 37% 7% -
68 ZHANG Ethan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
68 PETROSYAN David 100% 88% 52% 16% 2%
70 CHENG Daniel 100% 47% 9% 1% -
71 NABOKA Ruslan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
72 CHANG Isaac 100% 99% 85% 52% 17% 3% -
73 LIANG Henry 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
74 FLORIN Lucas 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
75 CHIN Domyeong 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
76 WOO Jonathan 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
77 WENTZ W. Budd 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
78 HUANG Max 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
78 MACIE Theodore 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.