March NAC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Friday, March 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YOO Lucas - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
2 YOU Asher - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 LIU Yihong - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 FU Benjamin - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
5 BONTHA Aneesh 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
6 YI Alexander - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
7 LI Kingston - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
9 CHEN Nathan - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
10 MODI Vihaan - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
11 JIANG Adam - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
12 LEE Daniel 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
13 VAN RIET Matteo 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
14 YU Luca - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
15 THOMSON Piers 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
16 IVANOV Andrew - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
17 KIM Ian - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
18 GAO Jonathan G. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
19 XIONG Alec - 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
20 LI Sean - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
21 CHI Zachary 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
22 LEUNG Joon - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
23 LIU YULIN - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
24 OLELE Chibuikem - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
25 CHU Joe 1% 6% 19% 31% 27% 12% 2%
26 LI Jacob - 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
27 LIU FREDERICK - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
28 YIM Benjamin 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
29 FEHERVARI Nikolas 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
30 PEKKER Moussa - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
31 LU Shawn - 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
32 FERNANDEZ Chenxing - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
33 FAYEZ Adam - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
34 WANG Alexander 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% < 1% -
35 YAN Milan - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
36 CHEUNG Daniel - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
37 NG Remy - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
37 LIU Spencer - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
39 SATHYAN Dhruv - 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
40 ROCHE Theodore 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
41 CHEN Yijia (Rick) - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
42 ALI Akash 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
43 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
44 SALIBA Jackson 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
45 LIN Daniel - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
46 BUSH Andrew 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
47 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
48 MAK Nolan 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
49 CHA Declan - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
50 REED Andrew 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
51 SZETO Jonathan - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
52 NOVOSELOV Roman - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
53 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
54 WU KADEN 1% 5% 17% 30% 29% 15% 3%
55 BACON Bryce 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
55 TRIVULCE Ethan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
57 WU JiaEr 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
58 HAO hardy 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
59 BUCHNER Theodore - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
60 CHO Lincoln 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
61 WANG Franklin 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
62 ZUNIGA Wyatt 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% - -
63 LAW Benjamin 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
64 YONG Dylan 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
65 GAO Kevin 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
66 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
67 SOTO Lucas 3% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
68 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
69 SHABASHOV Roman - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
70 PAGLIARINI John 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
71 ZUNIGA Finn 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
72 HILFIGER Marcos 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
73 LI Nathan Zeting 12% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
74 PATRICK Cullen 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
75 LIN Samuel 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
76 CHEN Samuel 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
77 RHOADS Jonathan 74% 23% 3% - - - -
78 LU Jayden 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
79 RHOADS Joseph 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
80 VOLKOV Joshua 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
82 LEE Zachariah 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
83 ANDERSON Aramis 67% 28% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.