March NAC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Friday, March 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
2 YOU Asher 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
5 BONTHA Aneesh 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
6 YI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
7 LI Kingston 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
9 CHEN Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
10 MODI Vihaan 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
11 JIANG Adam 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
12 LEE Daniel 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
13 VAN RIET Matteo 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
14 YU Luca 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
15 THOMSON Piers 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
16 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 6%
17 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
18 GAO Jonathan G. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 6%
19 XIONG Alec 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
20 LI Sean 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
21 CHI Zachary 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
22 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
23 LIU YULIN 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16%
24 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
25 CHU Joe 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
26 LI Jacob 100% 100% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
27 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
28 YIM Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
29 FEHERVARI Nikolas 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
30 PEKKER Moussa 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
31 LU Shawn 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
32 FERNANDEZ Chenxing 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
33 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
34 WANG Alexander 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% < 1% -
35 YAN Milan 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
36 CHEUNG Daniel 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
37 NG Remy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
37 LIU Spencer 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
39 SATHYAN Dhruv 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
40 ROCHE Theodore 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
41 CHEN Yijia (Rick) 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
42 ALI Akash 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
43 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
44 SALIBA Jackson 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
45 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
46 BUSH Andrew 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
47 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
48 MAK Nolan 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
49 CHA Declan 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
50 REED Andrew 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
51 SZETO Jonathan 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
52 NOVOSELOV Roman 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
53 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
54 WU KADEN 100% 99% 94% 78% 47% 18% 3%
55 BACON Bryce 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
55 TRIVULCE Ethan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
57 WU JiaEr 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
58 HAO hardy 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
59 BUCHNER Theodore 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
60 CHO Lincoln 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
61 WANG Franklin 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
62 ZUNIGA Wyatt 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
63 LAW Benjamin 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
64 YONG Dylan 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
65 GAO Kevin 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
66 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
67 SOTO Lucas 100% 97% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
68 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 8% 1%
69 SHABASHOV Roman 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
70 PAGLIARINI John 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 5% -
71 ZUNIGA Finn 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
72 HILFIGER Marcos 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
73 LI Nathan Zeting 100% 88% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
74 PATRICK Cullen 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
75 LIN Samuel 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
76 CHEN Samuel 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
77 RHOADS Jonathan 100% 26% 3% - - - -
78 LU Jayden 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
79 RHOADS Joseph 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
80 VOLKOV Joshua 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
82 LEE Zachariah 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
83 ANDERSON Aramis 100% 33% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.