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Event Results

Y-12 Men's Saber

March NACSurprise Map

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland · Cleveland, OH, USA
181 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 YI Andrew V V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.6 6 +0.4
2 KOREN George V V D V V V V V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
3 LEVY Daniel V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
3 WANG David V V V V V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
5 KAUL Ishaan V V V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
6 HENDERSON Louis D V V V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
7 FU BRANDEN V V V V D V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
8 ISAYENKO Daniel V V V V V D V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
9 SHAPIRO Leo V V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
10 MOROAICA Seiku V V V V V V V V V D 4.0 6 +2.0
11 ZHANG Weihang D V V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
12 LOPEZ Mateo D V V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
13 DUFF Michael V V V V V D V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
14 PARK Layne V V D V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
15 PARK Sean V V D V V D V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
16 CHEN Brian V D V D V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
17 YU Ian V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
18 CAO HAOTIAN V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
19 THOMAS Tre V V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
20 SU Eric V V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
21 YE Aaron V V V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
22 GU Andrew V V V V D V V V D 5.4 5 -0.4
23 ERPELDING Ryan V D V V V V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
24 YUEN Caleb V D V V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
25 KIM Junseong V V V V V D V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
26 CHEN Aaron V V V V V D V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
26 LLOYD Max V V V V V D V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
28 LU Simon V V V D V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
29 LIM JUWANA Maximilian V V V V D D V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
30 ALUF William V D V V V D V V D 5.4 4 -1.4
31 LEE Kyle V D D V V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
32 SUN Leonard V D V D V V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
33 HU Simon V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
33 WANG Henrik V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
35 MOGUNOV Alan V V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
36 ZALETAEV Jacob V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
36 WOLLOW Bennett V V V V V V V D 3.6 6 +2.4
38 LUO Gavin V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
39 WANG James V V D V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
40 LEE Jayden Junhyuk V D V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
41 DESAI Arthav V D V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
42 LAI Mars D V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
43 PI Edwin V V V V D V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
44 CHEN Luca V V D V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
45 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse V V V D V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
46 GILBERT Ari V V V V D V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
47 ATA Kevin V V D V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
48 CHEN Harrison V V V D V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
49 WANG Harrison D V V V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
50 MAUREL Louis V V V V V D V D 3.1 5 +1.9
51 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID 0.0 0 -
52 TABANCAY Cole V D V D V V V 3.8 4 +0.2
53 SALMAN Ibrahim V D D V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
54 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW V V V D V D V D 4.4 4 -0.4
55 CHEN Ryan V V D D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
56 YANG Aegon D V V D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
57 PARK Jayden V V D V D V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
58 LEE Shane Gunn D D V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
59 FAVO Christopher V D V V V D V D 4.1 4 -0.1
60 FAKHRI Adrian V D V V D V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
61 BABY Henry V D D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
62 MAKLIN David V D V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
63 IP Hunter V D D V D V V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
64 RISMAN Edward V V D V D D V V D 3.0 3 -
65 LEE Aiden V D V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
66 SABINO Bennett D V V V V D D 3.4 4 +0.6
67 MOTOV Max D D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
68 LI Sky V V V D D V D 2.2 4 +1.8
69 CHUNG Evan D V D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
70 LVOVSKIY Roman V V D D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
70 CAO Chuck D V V V V D D 2.8 4 +1.2
72 LIU Dylan V V V D V D D 2.5 4 +1.5
73 MO Ian V D V D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
74 LAN Jasper D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
75 KO-GALLOWAY Keaton V V D V D V D 3.8 4 +0.2
76 TAK Kion V V D V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
77 O'KEEFE Brody V D V D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
78 ZHENG Matt V D V D V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
79 GUCCIARDI Francesco V V V D V D D 4.0 4 -
80 JI Derek V V V D D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
81 ILICHEV Timur V V D V V D V D 3.7 4 +0.3
82 LI Nathan D V V V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
83 LEE Hubert Junhu V V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
84 TERENTIEV Michael D D D V V V V 4.5 3 -1.5
85 HSIEH Maxwell V D V D D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
86 MARTIRE Francis D V V D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
87 GALANG Aiden V D D V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
88 KULJIEV Boyan D V V D V D V D 1.7 3 +1.3
89 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh V D V D V D V D 1.4 3 +1.6
90 KURBANOV Tamir V V D V D D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
91 DING Orlando D V D V D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
92 LEI Isaac D V D D V V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
93 STYS Owen D D D V V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
93 CHOI Clayton D D D V V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
95 QI Zach D D V V V D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
96 ZHAO Alexander D V V D D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
97 DENG Richard V V D V D D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
98 GONG Johnny D V V V D D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
99 SUH Jordan V V D D D V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
100 LI Derek D V V D D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
101 BORNHOLZ Lawrence D V D D V V V D 1.8 3 +1.2
102 PETROSYAN Aleksander D D V V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
103 ZHANG Hanzel Missing ID 0.0 0 -
104 NEPPALLI Dhruv D V D D V D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
105 LI kevin D D V D D V V D 2.3 2 -0.3
106 HSUEH Oscar Missing ID 0.0 0 -
107 OH Caleb D D D D V V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
108 RAHMAN Noah D D D V D V V D 2.2 2 -0.2
109 LEE Augustine V D V D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
110 RIMMELE Sven Yan D D D V V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
111 GHIM Ethan V D D D D V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
112 GUO Joe V V D D D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
113 WANG Russell D D V V D D V D 4.3 2 -2.3
114 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson D D D V D V V D 2.2 2 -0.2
114 LOVELL Jackson V D V D D D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
116 NAYAK Kush D V D V D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
117 DIORIO James V D D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
118 WU Dylan D V D V D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
118 BABY Jacob V D V D D D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
120 SEVERT David D V V D D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
121 SCOTT Clark D D D D D V V D 2.5 1 -1.5
122 BAIER Leon D D V D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
123 BROOKS Grant D D V D D D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
124 CHEN Donovan D D V D D D V D 2.1 1 -1.1
125 TAK Sion V D D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
126 HEILMANN Caleb V D D D D V D 3.1 1 -2.1
127 PALERMO Evan D D D D V D V D 2.4 1 -1.4
128 TIAGI Ronald D D D D D D V D 2.4 0 -2.4
129 FAZELINIA Erfaan V V V D D D D 3.6 3 -0.6
130 KELLY Collin V D D D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
130 BERKI wyatt D V V D D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
132 ZHANG Leon D D V D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
133 OLSON Prescott D D D V V D D 1.2 2 +0.8
134 LEIGH Anthony D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
135 HADFIELD Gavin D V D D V D D 0.8 2 +1.2
136 BECKER Grayson V D D D V D D 3.1 2 -1.1
137 KANG Luke Missing ID 0.0 0 -
138 KRISHNARASA Aiyann V D D V D D D 3.5 2 -1.5
139 ZHAO Evan D D V D V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
140 HUANG Joseph V D D D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
141 MAGNAYE Jaezyn D D V D V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
142 ROSTHOLDER Ethan V D D V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
143 QIAO Jason D D V D D 1.7 1 -0.7
144 STEVENS Emeric D V D D D D D 3.2 1 -2.2
145 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A D D D V D D 1.7 1 -0.7
146 WANG Thomas D V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
147 ADOLPHUS March D D D V D D D 3.3 1 -2.3
148 CARD Ewan D D D D V D D 2.5 1 -1.5
149 MUKHERJEE Krish D D V D D D D 3.7 1 -2.7
150 KWON Joon D D D D D V D 2.5 1 -1.5
151 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
152 FIGUS Fabio D D D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
153 WONG Jacob V D D D D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
154 VINCENT Yian D V D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
154 BOOKER Gavin D D D D V D D 1.0 1 -
156 YEAZEL Reid D D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
157 GUI Kyle D D D V D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
158 BOYD Zachary D D D V D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
159 JIAO Lawrence D D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
160 GUINN Robert D V D D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
161 YUEN Aulden D D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
162 NG Jaden D V D D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
163 WENG Lawrence D V D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
164 CHIN Domyeong D D V D D D D 0.4 1 +0.6
165 CHANG Allen D D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
166 KIM Dylan D D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
167 KIM ZOLLER Jude D D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
168 PICACHE Merrick D D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
169 LEE Caleb D D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
170 MACIE Theodore D D D D D 0.1 0 -0.1
171 LIN Rongcheng Noah D D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
171 NABOKA Ruslan D D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
173 LIANG Henry D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
174 GUPTA Abir D D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
175 FERNAINE Thomas D D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
175 MULCAHEY Kieran D D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
175 KHAN Zorayz D D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
178 KAAKEH Taim D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
178 HSIEH Lucas D D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
180 WHITE Benjamin D D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
181 KAAKEH Kareem D D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%