March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew - - - - 6% 30% 64%
2 KOREN George - - - 3% 18% 47% 33%
3 LEVY Daniel - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 WANG David - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
5 KAUL Ishaan - - - 3% 20% 52% 24%
6 HENDERSON Louis - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
7 FU BRANDEN - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 22%
8 ISAYENKO Daniel - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
9 SHAPIRO Leo - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
10 MOROAICA Seiku - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
11 ZHANG Weihang - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
12 LOPEZ Mateo - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
13 DUFF Michael - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
14 PARK Layne - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
15 PARK Sean - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
16 CHEN Brian - 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
17 YU Ian - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
18 CAO HAOTIAN - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
19 THOMAS Tre - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
20 SU Eric - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
21 YE Aaron - 1% 9% 30% 43% 16%
22 GU Andrew - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
23 ERPELDING Ryan 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
24 YUEN Caleb - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
25 KIM Junseong - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
26 CHEN Aaron - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
26 LLOYD Max - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
28 LU Simon - - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16%
29 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 3% 15% 38% 37% 7%
30 ALUF William - - - 1% 8% 41% 50%
31 LEE Kyle - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
32 SUN Leonard - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
33 HU Simon - - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
33 WANG Henrik - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
35 MOGUNOV Alan - - 7% 37% 56%
36 ZALETAEV Jacob - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
36 WOLLOW Bennett - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
38 LUO Gavin - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
39 WANG James - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
40 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 1% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
41 DESAI Arthav - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
42 LAI Mars - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
43 PI Edwin - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
44 CHEN Luca - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
45 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
46 GILBERT Ari - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
47 ATA Kevin - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
48 CHEN Harrison 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
49 WANG Harrison 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
50 MAUREL Louis 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
52 TABANCAY Cole - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
53 SALMAN Ibrahim - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
54 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
55 CHEN Ryan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
56 YANG Aegon - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
57 PARK Jayden - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
58 LEE Shane Gunn - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
59 FAVO Christopher - 1% 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
60 FAKHRI Adrian - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
61 BABY Henry - 3% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%
62 MAKLIN David - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
63 IP Hunter - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
64 RISMAN Edward 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
65 LEE Aiden - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
66 SABINO Bennett - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
67 MOTOV Max - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
68 LI Sky 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
69 CHUNG Evan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
70 LVOVSKIY Roman - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
70 CAO Chuck 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
72 LIU Dylan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
73 MO Ian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
74 LAN Jasper 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
75 KO-GALLOWAY Keaton - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
76 TAK Kion - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
77 O'KEEFE Brody - 2% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
78 ZHENG Matt - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
79 GUCCIARDI Francesco - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
80 JI Derek 3% 18% 36% 32% 10% 1%
81 ILICHEV Timur - 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
82 LI Nathan 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
83 LEE Hubert Junhu - 7% 34% 46% 13%
84 TERENTIEV Michael - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
85 HSIEH Maxwell - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
86 MARTIRE Francis 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2%
87 GALANG Aiden 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
88 KULJIEV Boyan 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
89 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 12% 46% 32% 9% 1% - -
90 KURBANOV Tamir - 4% 19% 39% 29% 7% 1%
91 DING Orlando 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1% -
92 LEI Isaac 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
93 STYS Owen - 2% 13% 35% 36% 12% 1%
93 CHOI Clayton 10% 33% 38% 16% 3% -
95 QI Zach 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
96 ZHAO Alexander - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
97 DENG Richard 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
98 GONG Johnny 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
99 SUH Jordan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
100 LI Derek 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
101 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
102 PETROSYAN Aleksander 1% 23% 48% 25% 3%
104 NEPPALLI Dhruv 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
105 LI kevin 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
107 OH Caleb 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
108 RAHMAN Noah 2% 18% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
109 LEE Augustine 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
110 RIMMELE Sven Yan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
111 GHIM Ethan 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
112 GUO Joe 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
113 WANG Russell - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
114 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
114 LOVELL Jackson 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
116 NAYAK Kush 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
117 DIORIO James 4% 28% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
118 WU Dylan - 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
118 BABY Jacob 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
120 SEVERT David 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
121 SCOTT Clark 2% 14% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
122 BAIER Leon 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
123 BROOKS Grant 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
124 CHEN Donovan 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
125 TAK Sion 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
126 HEILMANN Caleb - 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
127 PALERMO Evan 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
128 TIAGI Ronald 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
129 FAZELINIA Erfaan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
130 KELLY Collin - 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
130 BERKI wyatt 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
132 ZHANG Leon 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
133 OLSON Prescott 21% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
134 LEIGH Anthony 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
135 HADFIELD Gavin 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
136 BECKER Grayson 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
138 KRISHNARASA Aiyann - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
139 ZHAO Evan 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
140 HUANG Joseph 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
141 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
142 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
143 QIAO Jason 3% 40% 43% 13% 1%
144 STEVENS Emeric 1% 5% 20% 33% 29% 11% 1%
145 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
146 WANG Thomas 7% 37% 37% 16% 3% - -
147 ADOLPHUS March - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
148 CARD Ewan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
149 MUKHERJEE Krish - 2% 12% 27% 34% 20% 4%
150 KWON Joon 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 3% -
151 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
152 FIGUS Fabio 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
153 WONG Jacob 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
154 VINCENT Yian 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
154 BOOKER Gavin 30% 40% 22% 6% 1% - -
156 YEAZEL Reid 5% 35% 39% 17% 3% - -
157 GUI Kyle 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
158 BOYD Zachary 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
159 JIAO Lawrence 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
160 GUINN Robert 33% 47% 18% 2% - - -
161 YUEN Aulden 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
162 NG Jaden 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
163 WENG Lawrence 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% - -
164 CHIN Domyeong 62% 32% 6% - - - -
165 CHANG Allen 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
166 KIM Dylan 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
167 KIM ZOLLER Jude 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
168 PICACHE Merrick 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% - -
169 LEE Caleb 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
170 MACIE Theodore 87% 13% 1% - -
171 LIN Rongcheng Noah 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
171 NABOKA Ruslan 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
173 LIANG Henry 43% 40% 14% 3% - -
174 GUPTA Abir 65% 31% 4% - - - -
175 FERNAINE Thomas 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
175 MULCAHEY Kieran 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
175 KHAN Zorayz 71% 26% 3% - - - -
178 KAAKEH Taim 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
178 HSIEH Lucas 33% 48% 17% 2% - - -
180 WHITE Benjamin 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
181 KAAKEH Kareem 73% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.