March NAC

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Catherine - - - - - 7% 93%
2 DING Lilac - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
3 SEVASTOPULO Sahra - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
3 YU Stella - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
5 CHEN Elaine - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
6 WONG Cerise - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
7 MOTOVA Masha 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
8 YANG Caroline - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12% -
9 YU Skylar - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
10 YE Isabella - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
11 LITTLE Avery - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
12 LOMOTAN Addison - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
13 NANDA Maanika - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
14 HU Alicia - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
15 DING Jolie 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
16 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
17 STADNIK Emilia - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
18 HWANG Charlotte - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
19 MYAT Chloe - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
20 CHERON Helene - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
21 ROSTHOLDER Hannah - 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 1%
22 VATS Ishita - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
23 HILD Anya - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
24 KO Ariel 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
25 JACHYMIAK Emilia 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
26 TENG Christine Renmei - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
27 PARK Chloe - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
28 JOSHI Samika 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
29 MAJEWSKA Maria - - 3% 16% 39% 37% 4%
30 GUO Daisy - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
31 CHERUKURI Tanvi 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
32 SUZUKI HAN Emma Yukino - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
33 CAFAGNA Sofia - - 8% 30% 40% 20% 3%
34 STAPLETON Lindsay K. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
35 YOUNG Sienna - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10% 1%
36 KU Chloe - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
37 OH Chloe - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
38 NIU Jessica - 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
39 WANG Tina - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
40 YADAV Tishya - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
41 SMITH Genevieve 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
42 ZHAO ZEMEI - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
43 DUDNICK Morgan - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
44 MATSUO Kei - - - 1% 12% 44% 42%
45 KAYA Lara - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
46 LAUREYNS Ainsley - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
47 GOEL Lineysha - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
48 WANG MONA - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
49 HAM Elizabeth 5% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
50 CHAMI Lana - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
51 KIM Hyunbi 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
52 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
53 TA-ZHOU Sophia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
54 BABB Virginia 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
55 KANG Soeun - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
56 ISBERG Natalie - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
57 XU Elaine - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
58 KIM Kailey - - 2% 10% 30% 42% 17%
59 CHEN Victoria 1% 13% 39% 34% 12% 1%
60 HU Heidi - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
61 SCHOON REBECCA - 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
62 TONG Laurie - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
63 WONG Lucia 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
64 ERPELDING Emily 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
65 ZHANG Wuxin 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1%
66 PRAXL Alexa R. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
67 MERRITT Annabelle 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
68 ZHANG Ashley - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
69 JUNG Sienna 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
70 HU Sophia 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
71 DESAUTELS Alexandra 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 5% -
72 CHA Jungyun 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
73 MORINAGA Mirai 1% 13% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
74 WANG Chloe 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
75 LIM Eunice 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
75 CHAN Isla 8% 39% 37% 14% 2% - -
77 ALMEDA Galina 1% 12% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
78 YANG Selina 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
79 LIAO Audrey 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
80 GISCHLER Mila 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
81 PEREIRA Izumi - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
82 WANG Emily 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
83 WU Harper 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
84 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
84 LIU Teresa 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
86 EJIOGU Adaugo - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
87 ZENG Jiawen 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
88 NEDOPAKA Kateryna - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
89 PARK Gabriella 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
90 LAI Karen 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
91 LI Tiffany 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
92 DUONG Esther - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
93 TESTROET Aubrey - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
94 KIM isabel 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
95 CORPUS Hannah 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
96 PARK Haylie - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19% 1%
96 KIM Jodie 14% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
98 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
99 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia - 8% 38% 37% 14% 2% -
100 SONI Ruhee 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
101 ONO Lisa 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
102 YERENKOVA Ameliia - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
103 FANG Lauren 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
104 LEIGH Adalene 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
105 WANG JiaQi 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
106 LIU Stephanie 13% 48% 31% 7% 1% -
107 LIANG Claire 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
108 BAIRD Kaleah 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
109 MOROAICA Nsheka 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
110 TAMARO Allie 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
110 JEON Kristen 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
112 ALSHAARAWI Sofia 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
113 FANG Elena 8% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
114 CRONIN Kayla H. 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
114 GUPTA Kanak 24% 57% 17% 2% - - -
116 JAJRA Avni 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
117 KIM Hyunseo - 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
118 TASSONE Charlie 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
119 MADDISON Erica 62% 33% 5% - - -
120 JOHNSTON Sabrina 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
121 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Nyssa 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
122 BARCZAY Sara E. 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
123 SIDERI Sophia 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
123 MCCLANAHAN Camille 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
125 MUTHAPPAN Sahana < 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
126 GERALDINO Sofia 86% 13% 1% - - - -
126 BADDEPUDI Sreenika 59% 37% 4% - - - -
128 LYNCH Vivian 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
129 FOISSET Camille 66% 30% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.