March NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHOUSHA Yassin - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
2 GORDEEV Peter - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
3 CHO Adrian 4% 26% 41% 25% 5%
3 KABA Elias - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
5 TARCHICHI Robby - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
6 WU Matthew - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
7 ZHANG Jonathan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
8 BETTS Jr Anthony P. - < 1% 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
9 PARKE Nathaniel - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
10 WANG Devin - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
11 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
12 LI Ray - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
13 XUE Michael 1% 6% 26% 42% 24% 1%
14 MOSTOVOY philip - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 23%
15 WANG Lucas - 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
16 LIU Andrew - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
17 CHEN Isaac Zhi - 6% 28% 44% 22%
18 LI Ryan 1% 7% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
19 WANG Kaiyan - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
20 BORAN Brooks 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
21 MOU Jaydon 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
22 MYRAH Devin 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
23 MANSFIELD Hunter 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
24 KIM Leejay - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
25 ZHAO Jonathan - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
26 WANG Eason 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
27 MA Nolan 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
28 CHONG Eden 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
29 CHANG Matthew - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
30 TOPRANI Valmik 12% 39% 35% 12% 1% -
31 JONES Colby 24% 46% 25% 5% -
32 SAYLOR Henry 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
33 ZANKOWSKI Brendan - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 8%
34 SONG Aidan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% < 1%
35 NABAVI Matthew R. - - 1% 7% 26% 45% 22%
36 YIN Justin 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
37 ZHENG Jason 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
38 BRESLAV Asher 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
39 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
40 VAN RIET Stefan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
41 COPELAND Nigel - - - 1% 16% 83%
43 KNYSH IURII 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
44 JONES Gideon 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
45 WONG Aaron 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
46 BANG Dylan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
47 SNELL Andrew J. - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
48 WU CHENWEI - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
49 CHEN Christopher 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
50 KATWAN Adam A. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
51 WANG Zhenhao 47% 43% 9% 1% - -
52 KARLEKAR Veer 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 1%
53 FUNG SHAUN 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
54 MCGRATH Sean L. - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
55 CHUTKAY Pratham - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
56 DENG Destin - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
57 BHANDARE Veer 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
58 SRIKANTH Hariharan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
60 DOAN Christopher 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
61 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 6% 25% 36% 25% 7% 1%
62 RICHMOND Ozan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
63 FONG Kobe - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
64 RUDIGER George 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
65 LI Grayson 1% 9% 31% 41% 19%
66 LARSON Vaughn - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
67 KIM Jeff - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
68 PENG Ethan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
69 RICHARDSON Ray - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 9%
70 HERDMAN Julian 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
71 SCHIPPER Johann 1% 8% 26% 36% 24% 6%
72 PARRA Lucas - 6% 30% 41% 20% 3%
73 STRAFFORD Andrew 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
74 KIM Doyun - 4% 16% 32% 33% 14% 1%
75 YAO Tristan 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
75 KIM Daniel 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% -
77 WILSON Benjamin H. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
78 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
79 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
79 VOO Lucas - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
81 EPPLER Dominik 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
82 HERRERA Xavier 1% 11% 34% 39% 15% 1%
83 KONG Ethan 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
84 BALUCAN Caelus 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
85 WANG Juehan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
86 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
87 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
88 SEABLOOM Jack 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
89 LAU LUCAS 1% 13% 37% 37% 12%
90 MCCANDLISH Owen 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
91 ZHANG James - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
92 JOBE Connor - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
93 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
94 GOODMAN Liam - 2% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6%
95 OR Anson 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
96 ARCHIBALD Daniel 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
97 WANG Marcus 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
98 RIVERA Louis - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 3%
99 LIN John 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
100 PRIJATEL John R. - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
100 SHOURIE Seth 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
102 GAO Ryan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
103 BAGAMANOV Ruslan 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
104 ZHANG Jason 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
105 GRIGGS Kaiden - 4% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
106 QUEENER, IV Henry 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
107 ADDLEMAN Joshua - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
107 TUNG Charlie 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
109 STEPANIAN George 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
110 VEERAVALLI Vivek - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
111 LIU Xuyao 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
112 SAAD Noah 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
113 ZHANG Luqi 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
114 LEUNG Dylan - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
115 LIN Edison 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
116 HUANG Max 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
117 TANG Michael - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
118 QUIRK Dylan - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
119 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
120 REED David - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
121 DU Yiwei 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
122 NOOL Alexander - 3% 20% 40% 30% 7%
123 KIM Julian 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
124 ZENG Felix 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
125 YANG Julian 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
126 FUNG SCOTT 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
127 MEDISETTI Arjun 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
128 DESAI Aadi 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
129 ALI Adam 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
130 CARPENTER Touma S. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
131 FRIEDMAN Andres 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
132 MARTIN Malakai 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
133 KUBBA Sauvil 55% 36% 9% 1% -
134 LEE Daniel 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
135 GRANSTROM Colin 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
136 RAMIREZ Hunter 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2%
138 AYAR Riley - 2% 17% 40% 33% 8%
139 MARTHENS Adam F. - - < 1% 1% 7% 34% 58%
140 ZHAN ETHAN 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
141 PECKENS Tyler - - < 1% - 3% 24% 72%
142 ELLIS, IV Floyd 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 5% -
143 TOYOFUKU Lucas 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
143 THOMAS Andrew 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
145 SZETO Zachary 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
146 ALABI Azryl 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
147 FORTUNA Chase 2% 19% 40% 30% 8%
148 LI Qiuye 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
148 SAAD Peter 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
150 GUO Benjamin - 5% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
151 LUO Alvin Y. 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
152 YU Kenneth 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
153 ZAGRAN Ivan 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
154 ANDERSON Connor 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
155 SCORDINSKY Liam 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
155 ATKINS Elan 34% 42% 20% 4% - -
157 ROFINO Samuel 32% 46% 19% 3% -
158 DANG William 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
159 RAMIREZ Tristan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
160 CAMPBELL Finn 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
161 WU Jiachen 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
162 BACON Corban 2% 16% 37% 34% 11% 1%
163 SHOURIE Neel 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
164 HARE Sullivan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
165 MAI Carl D. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
165 ANDERSON Eric 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
167 XUE Chenming 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
168 LEE Ryan 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
169 ZHU Brady 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% -
170 CASH William Li 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
172 SHARMA Aniket 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
173 DOGRUOZ Kuzey 26% 52% 19% 3% - -
174 TANEJA ARNAV 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.