March NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
2 GORDEEV Peter 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
3 CHO Adrian 100% 96% 70% 30% 5%
3 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 34%
5 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
6 WU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
7 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
8 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
9 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
10 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
11 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
12 LI Ray 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
13 XUE Michael 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 1%
14 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23%
15 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
16 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
17 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
18 LI Ryan 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% 1%
19 WANG Kaiyan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
20 BORAN Brooks 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
21 MOU Jaydon 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
22 MYRAH Devin 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
23 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
24 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
25 ZHAO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
26 WANG Eason 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
27 MA Nolan 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
28 CHONG Eden 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
29 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
30 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% -
31 JONES Colby 100% 76% 30% 6% -
32 SAYLOR Henry 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
33 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
34 SONG Aidan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% < 1%
35 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
36 YIN Justin 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4% -
37 ZHENG Jason 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
38 BRESLAV Asher 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
39 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
40 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
41 COPELAND Nigel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
43 KNYSH IURII 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
44 JONES Gideon 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
45 WONG Aaron 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
46 BANG Dylan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
47 SNELL Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
48 WU CHENWEI 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
49 CHEN Christopher 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
50 KATWAN Adam A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
51 WANG Zhenhao 100% 53% 10% 1% - -
52 KARLEKAR Veer 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
53 FUNG SHAUN 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
54 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
55 CHUTKAY Pratham 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
56 DENG Destin 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
57 BHANDARE Veer 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
58 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
60 DOAN Christopher 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
61 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
62 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
63 FONG Kobe 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
64 RUDIGER George 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
65 LI Grayson 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
66 LARSON Vaughn 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
67 KIM Jeff 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
68 PENG Ethan 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
69 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
70 HERDMAN Julian 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
71 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
72 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 94% 64% 24% 3%
73 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
74 KIM Doyun 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 1%
75 YAO Tristan 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
75 KIM Daniel 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
77 WILSON Benjamin H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
78 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
79 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
79 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
81 EPPLER Dominik 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
82 HERRERA Xavier 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
83 KONG Ethan 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
84 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
85 WANG Juehan 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
86 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
87 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
88 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
89 LAU LUCAS 100% 99% 86% 48% 12%
90 MCCANDLISH Owen 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
91 ZHANG James 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
92 JOBE Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
93 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
94 GOODMAN Liam 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
95 OR Anson 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
96 ARCHIBALD Daniel 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
97 WANG Marcus 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
98 RIVERA Louis 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 3%
99 LIN John 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1% -
100 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
100 SHOURIE Seth 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
102 GAO Ryan 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
103 BAGAMANOV Ruslan 100% 99% 92% 61% 19%
104 ZHANG Jason 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
105 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
106 QUEENER, IV Henry 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
107 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
107 TUNG Charlie 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
109 STEPANIAN George 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
110 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
111 LIU Xuyao 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
112 SAAD Noah 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
113 ZHANG Luqi 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
114 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
115 LIN Edison 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
116 HUANG Max 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
117 TANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
118 QUIRK Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
119 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
120 REED David 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
121 DU Yiwei 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
122 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
123 KIM Julian 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 2%
124 ZENG Felix 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
125 YANG Julian 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
126 FUNG SCOTT 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
127 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
128 DESAI Aadi 100% 93% 68% 32% 7% 1%
129 ALI Adam 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
130 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
131 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
132 MARTIN Malakai 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
133 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 45% 10% 1% -
134 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
135 GRANSTROM Colin 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
136 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2%
138 AYAR Riley 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
139 MARTHENS Adam F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
140 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
141 PECKENS Tyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
142 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
143 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
143 THOMAS Andrew 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
145 SZETO Zachary 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
146 ALABI Azryl 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
147 FORTUNA Chase 100% 98% 78% 38% 8%
148 LI Qiuye 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
148 SAAD Peter 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
150 GUO Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
151 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
152 YU Kenneth 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
153 ZAGRAN Ivan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
154 ANDERSON Connor 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
155 SCORDINSKY Liam 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
155 ATKINS Elan 100% 66% 25% 5% - -
157 ROFINO Samuel 100% 68% 22% 3% -
158 DANG William 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
159 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
160 CAMPBELL Finn 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
161 WU Jiachen 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
162 BACON Corban 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
163 SHOURIE Neel 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
164 HARE Sullivan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
165 MAI Carl D. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
165 ANDERSON Eric 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
167 XUE Chenming 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
168 LEE Ryan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
169 ZHU Brady 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
170 CASH William Li 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
172 SHARMA Aniket 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
173 DOGRUOZ Kuzey 100% 74% 22% 3% - -
174 TANEJA ARNAV 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.