Event Results
2026 NCAA Midwest RegionalSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SCHEMBRI Kruz | V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V D V V | 14.1 | 19 | +4.9 | |
| 2 | OSMAN TOUSON Maruan | D D V V V D V V D V V V V V V V D V V V | 14.7 | 15 | +0.3 | |
| 3 | IMREK Elijah | D V V V D D D V V V D V V V V D D V V V | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 | |
| 3 | HAMILTON-MEIKLE Jonathan | V V V V V D V V V D V V V V V V V D D | 14.2 | 15 | +0.8 | |
| 5 | KULCSAR Viktor | D V V V D V V V D V V D D V D V V D V | 13.2 | 12 | -1.2 | |
| 6 | BUELAU Matthew | D D V V V D V D V V V D D V D D V V V D | 13.8 | 11 | -2.8 | |
| 7 | STANGE Jakob | V V V D V V V D V V D D V D D D V D V V | 13.3 | 12 | -1.3 | |
| 8 | KROPP Jack | V V V D V V V D D D D D V V V D D D D D | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 | |
| 9 | SHAH S Ayush | D V D D V V D D V D D D D D D D D V V V | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 | |
| 10 | FIAMINGO Francisco | V D D V D D V V D D D D D D V D D D D D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 | |
| 11 | PETERSEN Ephraim | V D D D V D D V V V D D D D D D D D D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 | |
| 12 | ELSAYED Mahmoud | V D V V V V V V V V | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 | |
| 13 | FELICIANO Damien | D V V D V V D V D D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 | |
| 14 | RANGEL Arturo | V V D D D D V V D D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 | |
| 15 | DINKINS Shuayb | V V D D V V D D D D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 | |
| 16 | GIBSON Nowell L. | V V D V D D D D D V | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| 17 | CHENH Justin | D V D V D D D D D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 | |
| 18 | HEIM Bryce | V D D V D D D D D D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 | |
| 19 | SENNEWALD James | D D D V D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 | |
| 20 | RIECK Brennan | D D V D D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 | |
| 21 | PALLADINO Ben | D D D D D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 | |
| 22 | GIOVAGNOLI Nolan | D D D D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 | |
| 23 | CHEMEZOV Trent | D D D D D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 | |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |