March NAC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Monday, March 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JUBILEE Beata 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 69%
2 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 YANG Nina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
3 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 19%
5 URICHECK Julianna 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
6 ZHAO Crystal 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
7 ERATA Selena 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
8 WANG Hailie 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
10 CHONG Emma 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
11 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
12 WANG Phoebe 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 7%
13 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 95% 72% 30%
14 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
15 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
16 RYU Natalee 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
17 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
18 XIAO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
19 MU Jasmine 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2%
20 LAU Carys Bella 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
21 SALIBA Madison 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1%
22 RONG Hilary 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
23 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
24 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
25 WU Angela 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
26 DAI Amy 100% 93% 55% 15% 1%
27 SHIH Eva 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
28 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
29 YOU Nina 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
30 CAHALANE Alexa 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
32 KUANG Isabella 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
33 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
34 YAO Astrid 100% 91% 58% 18% 1% -
35 VILLER Gabriella 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
36 YU Catherine 100% 79% 38% 10% 1%
37 GORDON Winter 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
38 LEE Zerah 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
39 COONEY Kyla 100% 98% 78% 35% 5%
40 GROMOVA Vlada 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
41 LIOU Skylar 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
42 GROMOVA Eva 100% 97% 79% 37% 5% -
43 SAPKOTA Avelyn 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
44 HARSAR Cleo 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6%
45 SRIKUREJA Ayla 100% 83% 42% 9% 1% -
46 MAO Faith 100% 99% 84% 44% 8%
47 YE Charlotte 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
48 XIANG Kellina 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
49 TANG Sophie 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1%
50 FARIAS Francesca 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
51 MAKATOVA Aisha 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
52 MORTON Penelope 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
53 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
54 BIRZ Vivi 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
55 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 90% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
56 ABDELFATAH Laila 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
57 LEE Katherine 100% 77% 33% 6% - -
58 KIM Eila 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
58 XIA Kaelynn 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% 1%
60 LOUVOT Chloe 100% 19% 2% - - -
61 SOMANI Iam 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
62 TATINI Aria 100% 37% 6% - - -
62 KIM Madeline 100% 41% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.