GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, March 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BUTTA Reese 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
2 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
3 JERDEE Colton 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
3 SANFORD Wesley 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
5 WANG Kaiyan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
6 SAYLOR Henry 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
7 LARSON Vaughn 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
8 LIU Quincy 100% 100% 93% 69% 29% 5%
9 ASIALA Niilo 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1%
10 DRAWZ Chase 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
11 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
12 YANG Julian 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
13 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
14 ESWARAPU Anmol 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
15 LIU-XUE Shuliang 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
16 WANG Zhenhao 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
17 YATES Graeme 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
18 MCNALLY Thomas J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
19 VERWORN Jonathan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
20 JANYSKA Allen 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
21 BROUGHAM Brice 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
22 WILTSE Alexander 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
23 KOUTYCHENKO Anton 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
24 STEARNS Jeffrey 100% 97% 76% 32% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.