Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
2 DEJOY Leilah 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 1%
3 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
5 MIAO Anthea 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 LYNTON Olivia 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
7 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
8 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
9 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
10 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
11 FLYNN Kensington 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14% 1%
12 WANG Olivia 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1%
13 LU Chu 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
14 YANG Nina 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
15 ZHANG Carina 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
16 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
17 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 36%
18 VOO Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
19 MUHLENBRUCH Cora 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
20 LEE Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
21 RONG Hilary 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
22 PARKE Jaime 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 35%
23 LAMOREAUX Calyse 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
24 LEE Layla 100% 98% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
25 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4%
26 YU Jiaming 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
27 FLESHER Mia 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
28 SCHWARTZMAN Avital 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
29 TRUONG Camilla 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
30 YANG Emma 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
31 CHONG Emma 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
32 DING Xuanwen 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
33 WANG Catherine 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% -
34 LI Elaine 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
35 YE Charlotte 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
36 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
37 HAN Jimin Ellin 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
38 PUTTAMRAJU Nithya 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
39 HWANG Faith 100% 95% 73% 32% 5% -
40 CHEN Charlene 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4%
41 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
42 WANG Elizabeth 100% 86% 49% 14% 1% -
43 YANG Maggie Qiqi 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
45 YAO Astrid 100% 75% 27% 4% - - -
46 LUCENA Yoltzin 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
47 PARK Christine 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
48 LEWIS Angelica 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
49 LA Evelyn 100% 59% 14% 1% - - -
50 LI Celine 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
51 TAN Elizabeth 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
52 WHITE Zinnia 100% 47% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.