Fortune RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAYES Stewart - - - - 3% 29% 68%
2 PARK William - - 1% 6% 27% 48% 19%
3 ZHONG Maxwell - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
3 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
5 ZHOU Ryan - - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
6 YUE Jackson - - 2% 19% 51% 28%
7 LI Lucas - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
8 PE Noah - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
9 ZHANG Jacob - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
10 ONG Nicholas - - 1% 6% 27% 51% 15%
11 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - 6% 32% 62%
12 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - - - 5% 34% 61%
13 YE Jerry - 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
14 CHANG Eric Jonathan - - 1% 8% 32% 48% 11%
15 CHONG Tristan - - 1% 11% 45% 44%
16 HONG Edwin - 11% 35% 38% 15% 2%
17 CHOI Ethan - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
18 LI Daniel - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 18%
19 GUO Austin - - 6% 25% 41% 24% 4%
20 CHANG Jeremy - - 2% 14% 37% 35% 11%
21 LEE Jaden - - 1% 11% 44% 44%
22 YANG Charles - - 5% 24% 48% 23%
23 WANG Waylon 14% 41% 34% 10% 1%
24 LEE Abin - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
25 LU Andy - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
26 MURDOCK Koichi 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
27 CHAN Joseph - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
28 DENG David - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
29 JACOB Ezra 2% 15% 40% 36% 6%
30 ALCAZAREN Cian 3% 30% 43% 20% 3% -
31 HE Ian 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
32 SANCHEZ MARTINEZ Victor Noel 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 2% -
33 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
34 OH Kepler - 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
35 FOY Grant - 3% 20% 40% 31% 6%
36 YANG Steve - 8% 32% 39% 18% 2%
37 LEE Christopher - 7% 31% 45% 15% 1%
38 CHEUNG Henry 14% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
39 LO Ernest - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% -
40 ZHANG Raphael - 3% 15% 36% 34% 10% 1%
41 FUKUDA Brando - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
42 ZHANG Jason 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 3% -
43 TANG Brayden - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8% -
44 XU Ethan 1% 6% 24% 39% 24% 5% -
45 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
46 SAFTA Aidan - 2% 18% 40% 30% 9% 1%
47 PARK Kaiden 1% 18% 42% 32% 7% 1%
48 MASOOD Rohail 2% 36% 42% 17% 3% -
49 HUANG Nathan - 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
49 WANG Ancen 1% 29% 43% 22% 4% -
51 CHEN kenneth 1% 15% 40% 35% 9% 1%
52 WANG sicheng 5% 27% 43% 22% 3%
53 YUNG Brandon 2% 20% 46% 27% 4% -
54 DANIEL Nikith - 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% -
55 ARCARA Evan 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
56 LEE Lucas 1% 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
57 ZHANG Andrew - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1%
58 LI Austin 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
59 LOPES-EASON Liam James 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
60 LI Aaron 37% 44% 17% 2% -
61 ULZIIBOLD Sean 4% 54% 34% 7% 1% - -
62 SHADRAVAN Arash 13% 40% 34% 11% 2% - -
63 LEE Colin 27% 43% 24% 5% - - -
64 FALCONE Mateo 15% 54% 26% 4% - - -
65 BARROW Jackson 52% 39% 9% 1% - -
66 LEE Ian 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
67 KOEHLER Marc 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% - -
68 TRAN Matthew 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
69 KWONG Colin 16% 49% 29% 5% - -
71 WARD MADS 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
71 PROVENCAL Alec 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
73 LE Oliver 90% 9% - - - -
73 SCHAMP Eliot 91% 9% - - - -
75 GOURLEY Jack 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
76 TSAI Spencer 78% 20% 2% - - -
77 FARRAR Peter 66% 31% 4% - - - -
78 NELSON Elliott 63% 31% 5% - - - -
79 LINTNER-CALVO Julien 89% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.