NEUSFA 2026 Summer National Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Ian G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
2 MCFARLAND Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 11%
3 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
3 MOSHIER Calvin 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% < 1% -
5 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
6 KELLEY Hayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
7 SKLAR Davida 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 7%
8 YELIZAROV Vladislav 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
9 ASHLEY Logan 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
10 ZHANG Qing 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
11 ROFINO Samuel 100% 98% 84% 43% 10% 1%
12 BURNHAM Charlie E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
13 MOZZER Nolan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
14 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
15 RUDIGER George 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
16 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 89% 55% 19% 4% - -
17 SONPAL Winslow 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
18 HAN Nathan 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
19 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
20 CHAN Tyler 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% - -
21 REELS Eric J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
22 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
23 YEE Charles E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
24 MANN Daniel 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
25 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
26 KLOTS Theo 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
27 FOGEL Jake 100% 88% 52% 16% 3% - -
28 GILLARD Adan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
28 MITSCH Aubrey 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
30 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
31 RICHARDS Jack 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
32 LARAGY Collin 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
33 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
34 EGHIAN Armen 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
35 PAN Anthony 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
36 LEE Harrison 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
37 ACHILOV Murod 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
38 LIU George 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
39 YAMAUCHI Corbin 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
40 CULLER Michael (Mike) D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
41 DIXON Miles 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
42 OTTAVIANO Marcus 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 5% -
43 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
44 LU Eric 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
45 KAIN Brad 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
46 ZHU Brady 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
47 LIU Easun 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
48 BARNES Kieron 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
49 VILLARS Philip 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
50 HAMILTON Andrew 100% 61% 15% 2% - -
51 BROWN Campbell 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1%
52 WORMHOOD Joseph 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.