Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU Branden - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
2 MOROAICA Seiku - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 SU Eric - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
3 DESAI Arthav - - 1% 6% 27% 46% 21%
5 LEE Jayden Junhyuk - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 14%
6 RAZAI Evan - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
7 CHOI LIAM - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
8 PI Edwin - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
9 LVOVSKIY Roman - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
10 HSIEH Maxwell - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
11 FAN Yuchen - 4% 21% 41% 28% 5%
12 GALANG Aiden - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
13 DING Orlando 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
14 JI Derek - 1% 9% 31% 43% 15% 1%
15 LIU Dylan 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
16 HSIEH Sebastian - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
17 LEI Isaac - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
18 CHEN Aaron - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
19 LIU Jayden 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% < 1% -
20 LI Jason - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
21 LIU Franklin - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
22 JIANG Steven - - - 2% 14% 44% 39%
23 CONCANNON Jackson 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
24 SUN alan 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
26 ZHANG Peter 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
27 EKAMBARAM Rithik - 2% 15% 38% 35% 9%
28 RAMOS Pious 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
28 FERRING Theo 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
30 WU Allen 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
31 YOON Jacob 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
32 BERKI wyatt 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
33 MALLARD Arthur 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
34 CHEN Donovan - 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
35 WONG Alexander - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
35 WOO Slade - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
37 LORENTZEN Felix 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
38 SO Cheston 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
39 CHOI Theo 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
40 BLACK Conall 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
41 BURKHART Camden 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
42 QIAO Jason 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
43 CHAN Ethan 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
44 YANG Collin 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
45 LI Edward 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
46 LEE Albert - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
47 LEE Hubert Junhu - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
48 KHUU HALL Gibson 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
49 CHEN Maorui 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% -
50 WANG Chuyun 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
51 YUEN Aulden 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
52 DAUM Billy 29% 44% 22% 4% - -
53 LEE Caleb 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
54 KANG Paul 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
55 NG Jaden 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
56 WU Aiden 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
56 KIM Connor 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
56 CHEN Rylan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
59 FAN Yuen 3% 16% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
60 ZHANG Kyle < 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 3% -
61 TSIH Brendan 2% 14% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
62 LAM Dylan 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
62 BROWN Eli 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.