Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU Branden 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 SU Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
3 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 21%
5 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
6 RAZAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 41%
7 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
8 PI Edwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
9 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
10 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
11 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
12 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
13 DING Orlando 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
14 JI Derek 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16% 1%
15 LIU Dylan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
16 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
17 LEI Isaac 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
18 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
19 LIU Jayden 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% < 1% -
20 LI Jason 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
21 LIU Franklin 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
22 JIANG Steven 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
23 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
24 SUN alan 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
26 ZHANG Peter 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
27 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
28 RAMOS Pious 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
28 FERRING Theo 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
30 WU Allen 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
31 YOON Jacob 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
32 BERKI wyatt 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
33 MALLARD Arthur 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
34 CHEN Donovan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
35 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
35 WOO Slade 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
37 LORENTZEN Felix 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
38 SO Cheston 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
39 CHOI Theo 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
40 BLACK Conall 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
41 BURKHART Camden 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
42 QIAO Jason 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
43 CHAN Ethan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
44 YANG Collin 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
45 LI Edward 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
46 LEE Albert 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
47 LEE Hubert Junhu 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
48 KHUU HALL Gibson 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
49 CHEN Maorui 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
50 WANG Chuyun 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
51 YUEN Aulden 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
52 DAUM Billy 100% 71% 26% 5% - -
53 LEE Caleb 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
54 KANG Paul 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
55 NG Jaden 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
56 WU Aiden 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
56 KIM Connor 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% - -
56 CHEN Rylan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
59 FAN Yuen 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
60 ZHANG Kyle 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3% -
61 TSIH Brendan 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
62 LAM Dylan 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
62 BROWN Eli 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.