Fortune RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAI Edison - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 KIM Alexander - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 FU Nolan - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 TANG Michael - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
5 DU Evan - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
6 WONG Aaron - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
7 LIANG Donny - 1% 6% 24% 43% 25% 3%
8 SCHWITZER Eliot - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
9 LOUIE Joseph - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
10 LEUNG Dylan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
11 VOO Lucas - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
12 BROWN Korbyn 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
13 KOFMAN David - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
13 DENG Destin - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
15 HWANG Matthew - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
16 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2% -
17 SU Samuel - 2% 15% 37% 36% 10%
18 LI Grayson - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
19 MORIN-JIANG Jake - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
20 MARENCIK Miles - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
21 WANG Devin - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
22 GADHVI Darius - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
22 GUO Woody - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
24 MAXU Tiger - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
25 OLIVAS Joseph - 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
26 FRANCK Nicholas 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
27 DODDAPANENI Aarav - - 3% 17% 41% 34% 5%
28 XUE Michael - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
29 MOSLEY Wally 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
30 RONG Marcus 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
31 GUO Luke - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
32 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
33 HSU Joshua - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
34 WANG Lucas - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
35 HAMILTON Travis - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
36 DENG Henry - 3% 17% 36% 34% 10%
37 LIU Daniel 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
38 WOO Lucas - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
39 ZHANG Michael 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
40 KROTZ Nicolas - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
41 KIM Remington - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
42 NGUYEN Ethan V. 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
43 PARRA Lucas 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
44 LUCENAY Samuel 3% 29% 41% 22% 5% -
45 WONG Vansen - 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
46 SHOURIE Seth 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
47 SHETTY Rohit - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
48 WU Nathan - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
49 KOU Mason 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
50 CHIEN Ian 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
51 RONG Gordon - 5% 22% 43% 30%
52 QIAO James 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
53 MENG Haoyi 17% 40% 32% 10% 1%
54 LEE Lucas - 3% 19% 38% 31% 8%
55 YU Haoyun 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
56 ENG Kyler - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
57 YIM Antonio 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
58 MA Nolan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
59 HUANG Eason 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
60 TOUSSAINT Wizard 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
61 SAMIMI Sina 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
62 ONG David 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
63 MAI Sy 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
64 NUGENT Curtis 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
67 TAVERNA Matteo 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
68 NOLAN Morgan 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
69 SUN Jerry 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
70 LOUIE Kyle 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
71 ROBINSON Dax 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
72 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
73 KIM Daniel 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
74 LIU Max 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
75 OR Anson 23% 42% 27% 7% 1%
76 YUN Nicholas 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
77 CHAN Nathan 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
78 SHOURIE Neel 7% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
79 BYUN Matthew 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
79 HOBBS Fineas 92% 8% - - - - -
81 ROLAND Nikolas 17% 48% 28% 7% 1% - -
81 COIMBATORE Dillon 45% 40% 14% 2% - - -
83 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 38% 43% 16% 2% - -
84 MARTEGANI Enea 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
84 SONG Jonathan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
86 ORTMANN Noah 74% 23% 3% - - -
87 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 7% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
88 LIU Yihong 1% 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.