Fortune RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
3 TANG Michael 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
5 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
7 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27% 3%
8 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
9 LOUIE Joseph 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
10 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
11 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
12 BROWN Korbyn 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
13 KOFMAN David 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
13 DENG Destin 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
15 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
16 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2% -
17 SU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
18 LI Grayson 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
19 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
20 MARENCIK Miles 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
21 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
22 GADHVI Darius 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
22 GUO Woody 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
24 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 10%
25 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
26 FRANCK Nicholas 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
27 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 5%
28 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
29 MOSLEY Wally 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
30 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
31 GUO Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
32 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
33 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
34 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
35 HAMILTON Travis 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
36 DENG Henry 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
37 LIU Daniel 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
38 WOO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
39 ZHANG Michael 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
40 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
41 KIM Remington 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
42 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
43 PARRA Lucas 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
44 LUCENAY Samuel 100% 97% 68% 27% 5% -
45 WONG Vansen 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
46 SHOURIE Seth 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
47 SHETTY Rohit 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
48 WU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
49 KOU Mason 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
50 CHIEN Ian 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
51 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
52 QIAO James 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% -
53 MENG Haoyi 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
54 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
55 YU Haoyun 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% -
56 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
57 YIM Antonio 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
58 MA Nolan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
59 HUANG Eason 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
60 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
61 SAMIMI Sina 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
62 ONG David 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
63 MAI Sy 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
64 NUGENT Curtis 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
67 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
68 NOLAN Morgan 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
69 SUN Jerry 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
70 LOUIE Kyle 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
71 ROBINSON Dax 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% -
72 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
73 KIM Daniel 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
74 LIU Max 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
75 OR Anson 100% 77% 34% 8% 1%
76 YUN Nicholas 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
77 CHAN Nathan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
78 SHOURIE Neel 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% - -
79 BYUN Matthew 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
79 HOBBS Fineas 100% 8% - - - - -
81 ROLAND Nikolas 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% - -
81 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
83 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
84 MARTEGANI Enea 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
84 SONG Jonathan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
86 ORTMANN Noah 100% 26% 3% - - -
87 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
88 LIU Yihong 100% 99% 74% 34% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.