Absolute Clash SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, March 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene - - - - 4% 26% 69%
2 ADDYSON Aidan - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
3 MIDYANY Ryan - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
3 LOPATIN Sergei 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
5 CHANEY Charles - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
5 GUNDUBOGULA Saket - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
7 KABA Elias - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
8 GRIGGS Kaiden - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
9 CHANG Matthew - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
10 SHCHUR Grayson - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
11 NOOL Alexander - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
12 GAO Ryan - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
13 MOSTOVOY Philip - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
14 MASKIN Mikhail - 3% 22% 43% 27% 5%
15 GUO Benjamin 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
16 STRAFFORD Andrew - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
17 WANG Marcus - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
18 LAI Jayden 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
19 CARPENTER Touma S. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
20 LAU LUCAS - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
22 KROPP Wesley - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
23 KIM Doyun - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 2%
24 KIM Henry - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
25 CHALLAMEL Hadrien - 1% 7% 22% 38% 28% 4%
26 SHEYDIN Barry 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
27 THOMAS Andrew - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
28 KATS Brandon - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
29 ZHENG Jasper 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
30 HUA Nolan 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
31 KO Ethan 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
32 HANTOV Adrian - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
33 MANSFIELD Hunter - - 7% 31% 44% 18%
33 NG Nico - 4% 22% 43% 28% 3%
35 GRIGORENKO Gleb - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
36 KONG Ethan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% < 1%
37 SAAD Peter 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
38 LEE Elijah 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
39 WU Matthew - - 2% 18% 45% 35%
40 BARTON Christian 23% 47% 25% 5% < 1% -
41 ARMSTRONG Payson - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
42 KIM Daniel 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
43 DODIN Daniel M. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
44 LEE Anton - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
45 BHANDARE Veer - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
46 YAO Ryan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
47 ZHOU Luke 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
48 TANG Luke - 4% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
49 ZHENG Jason - - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8%
50 JIANG Aidan 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
51 KUYKENDALL Lucas 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
52 ROBERTS Arthur 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
53 CHEN Aiden - 1% 5% 19% 37% 32% 7%
54 YAO Aiden 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
55 ZINCHUK Yuri 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
55 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
57 FRIZZELL Kai 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
58 DAI Jason 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
59 FANG Charlie - 8% 38% 38% 13% 1%
60 HONG Ethen 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
61 LIU-XUE Shuliang 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
62 SHAPIRO Samuel 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
63 CHO Adrian - 3% 16% 38% 33% 10%
64 MCGRATH Hogan 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
65 LIN Lucas - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
66 DOAN Christopher - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
67 ZHU Brady 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
68 CHONG Eden 2% 18% 42% 29% 8% 1%
69 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
69 SCHMIDT Paxton 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
71 KUYKENDALL Logan 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
72 KESELMAN Ron 15% 42% 32% 9% 1% - -
73 YAKHNIS Seth - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
74 ATKINS Elan 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
75 NOOL Aaron 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
76 LEE Taeryum 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
77 YANG JULIAN 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
78 YOON Jonathan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
79 HERDMAN Julian - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
80 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
80 TANG Daniel - 1% 8% 27% 41% 24%
82 TANG Colin 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
83 LAI Jaxon 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
84 SHAO Mason 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
85 CASH William Li - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
86 YAO Irvine 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
87 GUJJA Rishabh 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
88 KHERSONSKY Robert - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
88 BUTLER Xavier 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
88 SCHNEIDER Gideon 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
91 YOU Emmanuel 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
92 LEE Asher 14% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
93 CARPENTER Taisei 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
94 QU ethan 49% 43% 7% - - -
95 WANG Aidan - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
96 TANG Jayce 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
97 GORE Noah 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
98 LEE Ryan 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
99 CHAN Aiden 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
100 KIM Brendan 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
101 WEI Jayden 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
102 NAVARRETE Arian < 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
103 CAVALLARO Sebastian 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
104 LANE Sawyer 3% 24% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
105 GALIOTE James 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
106 ZHAO Brandon 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
107 FERNANDEZ Onward 4% 28% 41% 22% 5% -
107 SHULL Matthias 31% 53% 15% 1% - -
109 CHEN Jayden A 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
109 HWANG Christopher 67% 28% 4% - - -
111 MAURAIS JP 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
112 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 36% 45% 16% 2% - -
113 WU Caden 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.