George Mason University Patriot Open 2026

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAFIDI Joseph (Joey) F. - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 CARTER Austin L. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
3 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - 1% 7% 29% 44% 19%
3 BAGHA Armin - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
5 CHRISTY Peter C. - - 4% 33% 48% 15%
6 WHEELER Daniel - - - 3% 17% 42% 39%
7 HALE Bradley 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
8 WATERS Nathaniel 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1%
9 SO Lorenzo - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
9 WHITE Myles - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 6%
11 LEE Benjamin 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
12 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16% 1%
13 RAWSON Nicholas - - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
14 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 4% 30% 55% 10% 1% -
15 O'HARA Keegan J. - - - - 1% 19% 80%
16 TANG Justin 1% 10% 31% 36% 19% 4%
17 TARCHICHI Robby - 3% 17% 40% 33% 8%
18 HITCHCOCK David - - 4% 26% 61% 9%
19 LEHFELDT Damien S. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
19 SONG Zhihao - - 3% 17% 41% 35% 4%
21 KOOB Julian - 3% 22% 42% 27% 5% -
22 NOSIL Andrew S. - - 3% 18% 44% 36%
22 KIM Daniel 21% 47% 26% 6% - -
24 LEECH Braedan - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
25 SMOTHERS Nathan 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
26 CHENH Justin - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
26 RAPALSKI Thomas - 8% 28% 37% 22% 5%
28 MILLER Luke - 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
29 BAYUS Oliver 2% 16% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
30 MONTESI Eric - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
31 PENNER Kyle D. - 4% 21% 41% 28% 5%
32 GRAMLICH Bradley 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
33 SAAL Anna 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
34 PANE Patrick - 6% 25% 37% 25% 6%
35 MCCLEAN III Walter F. - 6% 28% 41% 21% 3%
36 SZIEDE Kieran 1% 13% 39% 35% 11% 1%
37 STULAK Brendan - 1% 10% 32% 37% 18% 3%
38 PERI Mourya 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
39 CANDELARIA Armando - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
40 WALLACE George - - 7% 42% 41% 10%
41 KE Sebastian 1% 10% 38% 43% 8% -
41 CAVE Rylan 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3%
43 PRAKASH Rahul 5% 27% 43% 21% 2% -
44 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 4% 47% 39% 9% - -
45 FEAGIN Patrick 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
46 SHIN Jamie 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% -
47 SHELLY Emery 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
48 SUNKARA Vishnu 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
49 KROPP Anne - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
50 HUANG Taohua 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
51 HO Lucas 9% 45% 35% 10% 1% -
52 D'ANGELO Olivia 22% 46% 26% 5% - -
53 SMITHSON Matthew 65% 30% 5% - - -
54 COYLE Emma 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
55 HAGERMAN Siona 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
56 LUNDEN Espen 30% 49% 19% 3% - - -
57 MOORE Mary 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
58 SCHICKEL Juliana 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
59 THOMPSON Josh 78% 20% 2% - - -
60 STANDISH Zachary 12% 41% 35% 11% 1% - -
61 IYER Matthias 41% 46% 13% 1% - -
62 CASTRO Ryan 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
63 COTHRAN Nicholas 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
64 NGUYEN Ethan 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.