George Mason University Patriot Open 2026

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAFIDI Joseph (Joey) F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
3 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
5 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 63% 15%
6 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
7 HALE Bradley 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
8 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
9 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
9 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
11 LEE Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
12 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 1%
13 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
14 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 96% 65% 10% 1% -
15 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
16 TANG Justin 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4%
17 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
18 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 9%
19 LEHFELDT Damien S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
19 SONG Zhihao 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38% 4%
21 KOOB Julian 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5% -
22 NOSIL Andrew S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
22 KIM Daniel 100% 79% 32% 6% - -
24 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
25 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
26 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 15%
26 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 5%
28 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
29 BAYUS Oliver 100% 98% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
30 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
31 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
32 GRAMLICH Bradley 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
33 SAAL Anna 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
34 PANE Patrick 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
35 MCCLEAN III Walter F. 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 3%
36 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 99% 86% 47% 12% 1%
37 STULAK Brendan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
38 PERI Mourya 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% - -
39 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
40 WALLACE George 100% 100% 100% 92% 51% 10%
41 KE Sebastian 100% 99% 89% 51% 8% -
41 CAVE Rylan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
43 PRAKASH Rahul 100% 95% 67% 24% 2% -
44 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 100% 96% 49% 10% - -
45 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
46 SHIN Jamie 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
47 SHELLY Emery 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3% -
48 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
49 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
50 HUANG Taohua 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
51 HO Lucas 100% 91% 46% 11% 1% -
52 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
53 SMITHSON Matthew 100% 35% 5% - - -
54 COYLE Emma 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
55 HAGERMAN Siona 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
56 LUNDEN Espen 100% 70% 22% 3% - - -
57 MOORE Mary 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
58 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
59 THOMPSON Josh 100% 22% 2% - - -
60 STANDISH Zachary 100% 88% 47% 12% 1% - -
61 IYER Matthias 100% 59% 13% 1% - -
62 CASTRO Ryan 100% 65% 18% 2% - - -
63 COTHRAN Nicholas 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
64 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.