George Mason University Patriot Open 2026

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOENIGSBERG Jared - - 3% 20% 43% 32% 2%
2 NGUYEN Anna - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12% 1%
3 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 MITCHELL Matthew - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
5 HOWERTON Beckett - 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% < 1%
6 DADIO Daniel 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% < 1%
7 CEDENO Andres - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
8 JAFAR Abdullah 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
9 HEANEY Sam - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
10 WANG Ziyao - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
11 KANE Kiran 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
12 MARKOWITZ Jonathan - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 10%
13 YAMATANI Michael 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% -
14 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
15 STEVENS Chrysanthi Z. 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
16 BUYUCCAN Jonah 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
17 SONG Zhihao - 7% 33% 43% 15% 2% -
18 SISSAC Samya 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
19 SILK Ryan 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
20 RUBIATO Lawrence - - 3% 21% 42% 27% 6%
21 LAUDO Joseph - - 1% 11% 35% 42% 10%
22 NGUYEN Bryce 8% 54% 31% 6% - - -
23 ZHOU Deborah 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
24 GAVALAS Daniella 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
25 GOSNELL James - 1% 10% 40% 39% 11% -
26 NGUYEN Minh 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
26 KWIATKOWSKI Matthew - 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
28 RIVABEM William 3% 14% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
29 CRUZ Isabel 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% - -
30 URIBE David 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
31 SWANN Juliet 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% - -
32 MARTIN Audrey 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
33 JOSHI Sanika 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
34 MIR Ismael - 3% 16% 40% 32% 8% -
35 WIZEMAN Nathan 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.