George Mason University Patriot Open 2026

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOENIGSBERG Jared 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 2%
2 NGUYEN Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
3 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 MITCHELL Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
5 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5% < 1%
6 DADIO Daniel 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% < 1%
7 CEDENO Andres 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
8 JAFAR Abdullah 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
9 HEANEY Sam 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 15%
10 WANG Ziyao 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
11 KANE Kiran 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
12 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
13 YAMATANI Michael 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
14 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
15 STEVENS Chrysanthi Z. 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
16 BUYUCCAN Jonah 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
17 SONG Zhihao 100% 100% 93% 60% 17% 2% -
18 SISSAC Samya 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
19 SILK Ryan 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
20 RUBIATO Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 6%
21 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 10%
22 NGUYEN Bryce 100% 92% 37% 6% - - -
23 ZHOU Deborah 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
24 GAVALAS Daniella 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
25 GOSNELL James 100% 100% 99% 90% 50% 11% -
26 NGUYEN Minh 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
26 KWIATKOWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
28 RIVABEM William 100% 97% 84% 55% 25% 6% 1%
29 CRUZ Isabel 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% - -
30 URIBE David 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
31 SWANN Juliet 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% - -
32 MARTIN Audrey 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
33 JOSHI Sanika 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
34 MIR Ismael 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 9% -
35 WIZEMAN Nathan 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.