Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Adam - - - - 3% 24% 73%
2 ZHAI Junqi - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
3 AHMED Mohsen - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
3 TOWNSHEND Connor - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
5 CHEN Edward - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
6 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
7 LI Jade - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
8 CHEN Cameron 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
9 KIM Henry - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
10 CHEN Evan - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
11 ZHU Yiming - - 3% 15% 37% 39% 6%
12 ZHENG Jason - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
13 KABA Elias - - 2% 14% 44% 41%
14 ZHANG Marcus Xuanwei - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
15 TRAN Spencer - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
16 ROBINSON Garrett 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
17 CUELLAR Markus - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
18 WANG-SONG Evan - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
19 MANSFIELD Hunter - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
20 HE Yurui 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
21 BHANDARE Veer 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
22 HU HAOYUE - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
23 CAO Gavin - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
24 CHO Adrian - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
25 FOGEL Jake 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
26 BENNETT Nathaniel 3% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1%
27 LEE Harrison 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
28 BRESLAV Asher - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
29 MORI Seneca - 1% 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
30 MANN Daniel 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
31 PARIGIAN Alexander 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
32 CHEN Daniel 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
33 MOZZER Nolan - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
33 MOSHIER Calvin 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
35 HERNDON Liam - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
36 CHAVES Evan 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
37 ZHU Brady 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
38 ROFINO Samuel 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
39 CHAU Collin - 1% 6% 26% 46% 21%
40 JIN Noah 2% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
41 SONPAL Winslow 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
42 CHEN Hayden 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3% -
43 CHEN Jayden A 46% 40% 13% 2% - -
44 CARPENTER Touma S. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
45 WANG Marcus 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
46 WILLIAMS Gavin 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
47 ROBINSON Blake 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
48 PRIEBE IV Cedric 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
49 RUDIGER George 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
50 LEE Ryan 17% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
50 LIN Lucas 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
52 LAW Oliver 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
53 LIU George 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
54 CAVALLARO Sebastian 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
55 LEE Elijah 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
56 KIM Louie 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
57 JIANG Aidan 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
58 KLOTS Theo 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
59 MA Joseph 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
60 BEAULIEU Edmund 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
61 HAN Nathan 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
62 FRIZZELL Kai 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
63 WAGNER Bennett 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
64 ASHLEY Logan 4% 25% 39% 25% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.