Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
3 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
5 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
6 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
7 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
8 CHEN Cameron 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
9 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
10 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
11 ZHU Yiming 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 6%
12 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
13 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
14 ZHANG Marcus Xuanwei 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 4%
15 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
16 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
17 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
18 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
19 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
20 HE Yurui 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
21 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
22 HU HAOYUE 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
23 CAO Gavin 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
24 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
25 FOGEL Jake 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
26 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
27 LEE Harrison 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
28 BRESLAV Asher 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
29 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 7%
30 MANN Daniel 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
31 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
32 CHEN Daniel 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
33 MOZZER Nolan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
33 MOSHIER Calvin 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
35 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
36 CHAVES Evan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
37 ZHU Brady 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
38 ROFINO Samuel 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
39 CHAU Collin 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
40 JIN Noah 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
41 SONPAL Winslow 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
42 CHEN Hayden 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
43 CHEN Jayden A 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
44 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
45 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
46 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
47 ROBINSON Blake 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
48 PRIEBE IV Cedric 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
49 RUDIGER George 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
50 LEE Ryan 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
50 LIN Lucas 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
52 LAW Oliver 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
53 LIU George 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
54 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
55 LEE Elijah 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
56 KIM Louie 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
57 JIANG Aidan 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
58 KLOTS Theo 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
59 MA Joseph 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
60 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
61 HAN Nathan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
62 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
63 WAGNER Bennett 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
64 ASHLEY Logan 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.