Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAI Evan - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
2 KHOTLINE Daniel - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
3 PAVLENISHVILI Luke - - - 4% 21% 43% 30%
3 DAI Zihou - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
5 KARAVAS Nicholas - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
6 PORTER Dupree - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
7 SWIFT Owen - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
8 WITCZAK Mateus - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
9 TASIKAS Pete - 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
10 ONG Dylan - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
11 WANG Theodore 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
12 LOO Jason 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
13 CHEN Felix 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
14 SONG Aidan - - 6% 25% 40% 25% 5%
15 LIN Alex 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
16 RAJMOHAN Arya 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
17 TSAO Oliver - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
18 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
19 LAMTAN Christoffer - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
20 SADHU Neiyam - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
21 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
22 ZWAKA Jonas - - 2% 16% 38% 34% 9%
23 LAZARTE Gabriel - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
24 LIU Eric 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
25 LIU Ryan 1% 8% 32% 38% 18% 3%
26 CRAWFORD William 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
27 REILLY Xavier 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
28 MIAO Heqi 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
29 LORENZ Evan 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
30 KIM Yusung 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
31 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
32 PEACE Sam 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
33 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 2% 17% 38% 33% 10%
34 LIANG Morgan - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
35 CONG Mason - 5% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
36 KAPOOR Krish 8% 31% 39% 18% 4% - -
37 LIEBOWITZ Carson 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
38 TSAO Alister 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
39 KAMURA Kosei 15% 48% 29% 7% 1% -
40 LEVIN Jacob 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
41 SHARMA Colin 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
42 LEE Damian 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
43 ZHANG Ray 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
44 HAUSLER Jayden 2% 20% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
45 MENZIES Liam 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
46 AWAD Omar 30% 44% 21% 5% - -
47 CORDERO Adam 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
48 MORRISSEY Joseph 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
49 KENNEDY Tomás 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
50 CHIN Adrian 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
51 THACH Tri 71% 26% 3% - - - -
52 DMYTRUK Alexander 8% 45% 36% 9% 1% - -
53 WASCO Andrew - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
54 LI Kent 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
55 COOPER Samuel 51% 37% 10% 1% - -
56 MARSHQUIST Miles 57% 36% 7% - - -
57 BRADBURY Noah 33% 43% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.