Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
2 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
3 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
3 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
5 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
6 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
7 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
8 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
9 TASIKAS Pete 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
10 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
11 WANG Theodore 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
12 LOO Jason 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
13 CHEN Felix 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
14 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
15 LIN Alex 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
16 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5%
17 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
18 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
19 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
20 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
21 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
22 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
23 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
24 LIU Eric 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
25 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 91% 59% 21% 3%
26 CRAWFORD William 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
27 REILLY Xavier 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
28 MIAO Heqi 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
29 LORENZ Evan 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
30 KIM Yusung 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
31 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
32 PEACE Sam 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
33 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
34 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
35 CONG Mason 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
36 KAPOOR Krish 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
37 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
38 TSAO Alister 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
39 KAMURA Kosei 100% 85% 36% 7% 1% -
40 LEVIN Jacob 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
41 SHARMA Colin 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
42 LEE Damian 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
43 ZHANG Ray 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
44 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 98% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
45 MENZIES Liam 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
46 AWAD Omar 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
47 CORDERO Adam 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
48 MORRISSEY Joseph 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
49 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 96% 78% 44% 16% 3% -
50 CHIN Adrian 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
51 THACH Tri 100% 29% 3% - - - -
52 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 92% 47% 11% 1% - -
53 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
54 LI Kent 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
55 COOPER Samuel 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
56 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 43% 7% 1% - -
57 BRADBURY Noah 100% 67% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.