Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GALANG Aiden - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
2 YUNG Nathan - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
3 CHEN Donovan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
3 ZHENG Matt - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
5 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
6 PICACHE Merrick - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
7 POLASA Viraj 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
8 MERRITT Dominik 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
9 ARVIND Dhruv - 3% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
10 SHIH Brandon - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
10 HULETTE Kirin 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
12 YAN Kaysen - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
13 LEE Caleb 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
14 WOO Jonathan 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
15 HWANG Leo 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
16 WANG Alex 1% 8% 28% 38% 20% 5% -
17 LIN Rongcheng Noah 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
18 ZHANG Leon 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
19 XU Jacob 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
20 LAN Rory 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
21 LIU Andrew 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.