Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
2 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
3 CHEN Donovan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
3 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
5 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
6 PICACHE Merrick 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
7 POLASA Viraj 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
8 MERRITT Dominik 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
9 ARVIND Dhruv 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
10 SHIH Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
10 HULETTE Kirin 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
12 YAN Kaysen 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
13 LEE Caleb 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
14 WOO Jonathan 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
15 HWANG Leo 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
16 WANG Alex 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
17 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 3% -
18 ZHANG Leon 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
19 XU Jacob 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
20 LAN Rory 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
21 LIU Andrew 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.